United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Murmansk Oblast Duma election market due to its entrenched position as the ruling party, backed by regional governor Andrey Chibis as party secretary and extensive candidate nominations across the mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-member districts. The election, set for September 18–20, 2026, alongside national parliamentary voting, occurs in a tightly managed political environment where systemic parties face structural barriers and limited independent competition. Historical results show United Russia securing legislative majorities despite modest party-list shares, while opposition groups such as CPRF and LDPR trail significantly in recent polling and prior cycles. Trader consensus prices reflect these institutional advantages and the absence of major disruptive developments in the final weeks before voting. Late shifts could arise from turnout anomalies or localized administrative issues, though such outcomes remain uncommon in this setting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourUnited Russia 97.0%
CPRF 1.6%
New People 1.3%
Party of Pensioners <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
United Russia
97%
CPRF
2%
New People
1%
Party of Pensioners
<1%
LDPR
<1%
A Just Russia
<1%
United Russia 97.0%
CPRF 1.6%
New People 1.3%
Party of Pensioners <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
United Russia
$5,754 Vol.
97%
CPRF
$487 Vol.
2%
New People
$243 Vol.
1%
Party of Pensioners
$246 Vol.
<1%
LDPR
$232 Vol.
<1%
A Just Russia
$435 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Murmansk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Murmansk Oblast Duma election market due to its entrenched position as the ruling party, backed by regional governor Andrey Chibis as party secretary and extensive candidate nominations across the mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-member districts. The election, set for September 18–20, 2026, alongside national parliamentary voting, occurs in a tightly managed political environment where systemic parties face structural barriers and limited independent competition. Historical results show United Russia securing legislative majorities despite modest party-list shares, while opposition groups such as CPRF and LDPR trail significantly in recent polling and prior cycles. Trader consensus prices reflect these institutional advantages and the absence of major disruptive developments in the final weeks before voting. Late shifts could arise from turnout anomalies or localized administrative issues, though such outcomes remain uncommon in this setting.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Murmansk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Marché ouvert : Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Volume
$7,396Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Murmansk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Murmansk Oblast Duma election market due to its entrenched position as the ruling party, backed by regional governor Andrey Chibis as party secretary and extensive candidate nominations across the mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-member districts. The election, set for September 18–20, 2026, alongside national parliamentary voting, occurs in a tightly managed political environment where systemic parties face structural barriers and limited independent competition. Historical results show United Russia securing legislative majorities despite modest party-list shares, while opposition groups such as CPRF and LDPR trail significantly in recent polling and prior cycles. Trader consensus prices reflect these institutional advantages and the absence of major disruptive developments in the final weeks before voting. Late shifts could arise from turnout anomalies or localized administrative issues, though such outcomes remain uncommon in this setting.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Murmansk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volume
$7,396Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Murmansk Oblast Duma election market due to its entrenched position as the ruling party, backed by regional governor Andrey Chibis as party secretary and extensive candidate nominations across the mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-member districts. The election, set for September 18–20, 2026, alongside national parliamentary voting, occurs in a tightly managed political environment where systemic parties face structural barriers and limited independent competition. Historical results show United Russia securing legislative majorities despite modest party-list shares, while opposition groups such as CPRF and LDPR trail significantly in recent polling and prior cycles. Trader consensus prices reflect these institutional advantages and the absence of major disruptive developments in the final weeks before voting. Late shifts could arise from turnout anomalies or localized administrative issues, though such outcomes remain uncommon in this setting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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