Recent polling from Emerson College and Texas Southern University shows the Texas U.S. Senate race locked in a statistical tie or narrow edge among likely voters, reflecting entrenched partisan splits on the economy and immigration. Ken Paxton's May primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn, backed by a Trump endorsement, secured the Republican nomination yet coincided with softer support among some GOP voters in general-election surveys. James Talarico's substantial fundraising advantage has funded heavy advertising and outreach, bolstering his standing with Democrats, independents, and younger voters. Age-based divides remain pronounced, with voters under 50 favoring Talarico and those over 50 leaning toward Paxton. A scheduled debate, turnout shifts, or late developments on pocketbook concerns could widen margins ahead of the November 3 contest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections sénatoriales au Texas
Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales au Texas
$781,173 Vol.
$781,173 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
James Talarico (D)
52%
Ken Paxton (R)
50%
$781,173 Vol.
$781,173 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
James Talarico (D)
$370,676 Vol.
52%
Ken Paxton (R)
$410,497 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling from Emerson College and Texas Southern University shows the Texas U.S. Senate race locked in a statistical tie or narrow edge among likely voters, reflecting entrenched partisan splits on the economy and immigration. Ken Paxton's May primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn, backed by a Trump endorsement, secured the Republican nomination yet coincided with softer support among some GOP voters in general-election surveys. James Talarico's substantial fundraising advantage has funded heavy advertising and outreach, bolstering his standing with Democrats, independents, and younger voters. Age-based divides remain pronounced, with voters under 50 favoring Talarico and those over 50 leaning toward Paxton. A scheduled debate, turnout shifts, or late developments on pocketbook concerns could widen margins ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Volume
$781,173Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling from Emerson College and Texas Southern University shows the Texas U.S. Senate race locked in a statistical tie or narrow edge among likely voters, reflecting entrenched partisan splits on the economy and immigration. Ken Paxton's May primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn, backed by a Trump endorsement, secured the Republican nomination yet coincided with softer support among some GOP voters in general-election surveys. James Talarico's substantial fundraising advantage has funded heavy advertising and outreach, bolstering his standing with Democrats, independents, and younger voters. Age-based divides remain pronounced, with voters under 50 favoring Talarico and those over 50 leaning toward Paxton. A scheduled debate, turnout shifts, or late developments on pocketbook concerns could widen margins ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$781,173Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from Emerson College and Texas Southern University shows the Texas U.S. Senate race locked in a statistical tie or narrow edge among likely voters, reflecting entrenched partisan splits on the economy and immigration. Ken Paxton's May primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn, backed by a Trump endorsement, secured the Republican nomination yet coincided with softer support among some GOP voters in general-election surveys. James Talarico's substantial fundraising advantage has funded heavy advertising and outreach, bolstering his standing with Democrats, independents, and younger voters. Age-based divides remain pronounced, with voters under 50 favoring Talarico and those over 50 leaning toward Paxton. A scheduled debate, turnout shifts, or late developments on pocketbook concerns could widen margins ahead of the November 3 contest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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