Javier Milei’s position as the leading candidate in the 2027 Argentine presidential election reflects traders’ assessment of his incumbency advantage and legislative gains from the 2025 midterms, even as his approval ratings have declined to the mid-to-low 30s amid persistent inflation, reduced purchasing power, and corruption allegations. Axel Kicillof, governor of Buenos Aires province and a leading Peronist figure, has emerged as the primary challenger, bolstered by coalition-building efforts within the opposition and stronger showings in some recent surveys that highlight voter fatigue with austerity measures. Lower-probability contenders such as Sergio Massa and Mauricio Macri remain sidelined by fragmented support and negative public images. The market pricing indicates a closely contested race shaped by economic outcomes and opposition consolidation ahead of the October 2027 vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJavier Milei 52%
Axel Kicillof 40%
Sergio Massa 5.1%
Myriam Bregman 1.5%
$524,776 Vol.
$524,776 Vol.

Javier Milei
52%

Axel Kicillof
40%

Sergio Massa
5%

Myriam Bregman
1%

Dante Gebel
1%

Juan Grabois
1%

Victoria Villarruel
<1%

Mauricio Macri
<1%

Esteban Bullrich
<1%

Facundo Manes
<1%

Juan Schiaretti
<1%
Javier Milei 52%
Axel Kicillof 40%
Sergio Massa 5.1%
Myriam Bregman 1.5%
$524,776 Vol.
$524,776 Vol.

Javier Milei
52%

Axel Kicillof
40%

Sergio Massa
5%

Myriam Bregman
1%

Dante Gebel
1%

Juan Grabois
1%

Victoria Villarruel
<1%

Mauricio Macri
<1%

Esteban Bullrich
<1%

Facundo Manes
<1%

Juan Schiaretti
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Marché ouvert : May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Javier Milei’s position as the leading candidate in the 2027 Argentine presidential election reflects traders’ assessment of his incumbency advantage and legislative gains from the 2025 midterms, even as his approval ratings have declined to the mid-to-low 30s amid persistent inflation, reduced purchasing power, and corruption allegations. Axel Kicillof, governor of Buenos Aires province and a leading Peronist figure, has emerged as the primary challenger, bolstered by coalition-building efforts within the opposition and stronger showings in some recent surveys that highlight voter fatigue with austerity measures. Lower-probability contenders such as Sergio Massa and Mauricio Macri remain sidelined by fragmented support and negative public images. The market pricing indicates a closely contested race shaped by economic outcomes and opposition consolidation ahead of the October 2027 vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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