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Politique·Argentine

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

icon for Argentina Presidential Election Winner
Politique·Argentine

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Javier Milei 49%

Axel Kicillof 33%

Dante Gebel 5.1%

Sergio Massa 3.3%

Polymarket

$65,830 Vol.

Javier Milei 49%

Axel Kicillof 33%

Dante Gebel 5.1%

Sergio Massa 3.3%

Polymarket

$65,830 Vol.

icon for Javier Milei

Javier Milei

$25,906 Vol.

49%

icon for Axel Kicillof

Axel Kicillof

$4,477 Vol.

33%

icon for Dante Gebel

Dante Gebel

$5,026 Vol.

5%

icon for Sergio Massa

Sergio Massa

$3,444 Vol.

3%

icon for Mauricio Macri

Mauricio Macri

$5,145 Vol.

3%

icon for Myriam Bregman

Myriam Bregman

$4,964 Vol.

3%

icon for Juan Grabois

Juan Grabois

$3,929 Vol.

3%

icon for Victoria Villarruel

Victoria Villarruel

$3,305 Vol.

1%

icon for Juan Schiaretti

Juan Schiaretti

$3,813 Vol.

1%

icon for Facundo Manes

Facundo Manes

$3,178 Vol.

1%

icon for Esteban Bullrich

Esteban Bullrich

$2,643 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).Trader consensus favors incumbent President Javier Milei at 48.5% implied probability for the October 2027 presidential election, reflecting recent polls like RDT Consultores' May runoff showing him ahead 38.2% to Axel Kicillof's 33.8%, bolstered by his La Libertad Avanza party's midterm landslide in October 2025 despite economic austerity pains. Kicillof, Buenos Aires governor and leading Peronist, holds 33.5% as opposition consolidates amid Milei's approval plunge to 35-37% in April surveys from Synopsis and Trespuntozero, driven by rising unemployment and corruption allegations eroding libertarian support. Evangelical pastor Dante Gebel at 5.1% gains from his nascent political space launch, appealing to disaffected voters, while fragmented fields keep others below 6%. Primaries loom as key tests ahead of the two-round vote.

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Volume
$65,830
Date de fin
24 oct. 2027
Marché ouvert
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).Trader consensus favors incumbent President Javier Milei at 48.5% implied probability for the October 2027 presidential election, reflecting recent polls like RDT Consultores' May runoff showing him ahead 38.2% to Axel Kicillof's 33.8%, bolstered by his La Libertad Avanza party's midterm landslide in October 2025 despite economic austerity pains. Kicillof, Buenos Aires governor and leading Peronist, holds 33.5% as opposition consolidates amid Milei's approval plunge to 35-37% in April surveys from Synopsis and Trespuntozero, driven by rising unemployment and corruption allegations eroding libertarian support. Evangelical pastor Dante Gebel at 5.1% gains from his nascent political space launch, appealing to disaffected voters, while fragmented fields keep others below 6%. Primaries loom as key tests ahead of the two-round vote.

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Volume
$65,830
Date de fin
24 oct. 2027
Marché ouvert
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Argentina Presidential Election Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Javier Milei » à 49%, suivi de « Axel Kicillof » à 33%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 49¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 49% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Argentina Presidential Election Winner » a généré $65.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le May 1, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Argentina Presidential Election Winner », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Argentina Presidential Election Winner » est « Javier Milei » à 49%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 49% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Axel Kicillof » à 33%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Argentina Presidential Election Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.