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Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle argentine

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle argentine

Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle argentine

Javier Milei 52%

Axel Kicillof 40%

Sergio Massa 4.9%

Myriam Bregman 1.4%

Polymarket

$524,776 Vol.

Javier Milei 52%

Axel Kicillof 40%

Sergio Massa 4.9%

Myriam Bregman 1.4%

Polymarket

$524,776 Vol.

icon for Javier Milei

Javier Milei

$136,704 Vol.

52%

icon for Axel Kicillof

Axel Kicillof

$101,534 Vol.

40%

icon for Sergio Massa

Sergio Massa

$46,537 Vol.

5%

icon for Myriam Bregman

Myriam Bregman

$34,722 Vol.

1%

icon for Dante Gebel

Dante Gebel

$33,384 Vol.

1%

icon for Juan Grabois

Juan Grabois

$30,430 Vol.

1%

icon for Victoria Villarruel

Victoria Villarruel

$28,437 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mauricio Macri

Mauricio Macri

$36,701 Vol.

<1%

icon for Esteban Bullrich

Esteban Bullrich

$24,510 Vol.

<1%

icon for Facundo Manes

Facundo Manes

$22,323 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Schiaretti

Juan Schiaretti

$29,494 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).Javier Milei, the incumbent running for re-election under La Libertad Avanza, leads trader consensus at 51.5% as the market reflects his 2025 midterm gains in Congress and continued pursuit of austerity and deregulation measures. Axel Kicillof trails at 40% as the leading Peronist contender, supported by coalition-building efforts among opposition factions and polls showing him competitive or ahead in some hypothetical head-to-head matchups. Milei’s approval ratings have declined to the mid-30s amid persistent inflation, eroding purchasing power, and recent corruption allegations, creating space for alternatives. Other candidates, including Sergio Massa, remain marginal at single-digit or lower probabilities, underscoring the concentrated focus on the Milei-Kicillof contest ahead of the October 2027 vote.

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Volume
$524,776
Date de fin
24 oct. 2027
Marché ouvert
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).Javier Milei, the incumbent running for re-election under La Libertad Avanza, leads trader consensus at 51.5% as the market reflects his 2025 midterm gains in Congress and continued pursuit of austerity and deregulation measures. Axel Kicillof trails at 40% as the leading Peronist contender, supported by coalition-building efforts among opposition factions and polls showing him competitive or ahead in some hypothetical head-to-head matchups. Milei’s approval ratings have declined to the mid-30s amid persistent inflation, eroding purchasing power, and recent corruption allegations, creating space for alternatives. Other candidates, including Sergio Massa, remain marginal at single-digit or lower probabilities, underscoring the concentrated focus on the Milei-Kicillof contest ahead of the October 2027 vote.

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Volume
$524,776
Date de fin
24 oct. 2027
Marché ouvert
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle argentine » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Javier Milei » à 52%, suivi de « Axel Kicillof » à 40%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 52¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 52% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle argentine » a généré $524.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le May 1, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle argentine », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle argentine » est « Javier Milei » à 52%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 52% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Axel Kicillof » à 40%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle argentine » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.