AfD maintains a commanding lead in recent opinion polls for Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's September 20, 2026, state election, reflecting sustained voter support in eastern Germany amid broader trends favoring the party. Current surveys place AfD at 34–37 percent, well ahead of the incumbent SPD at 23–27 percent, with CDU, Linke, and smaller parties trailing further behind. This positioning has held steady through early 2026, with only marginal narrowing in the SPD's deficit in the most recent infratest dimap data. Traders' consensus pricing aligns with these consistent polling margins and the structural challenges facing coalition alternatives, underscoring limited near-term shifts that could alter the frontrunner status before election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection parlementaire Mecklembourg-Poméranie-Occidentale
AfD 87%
SPD 13%
Les Verts <1%
CDU <1%
$217,972 Vol.
$217,972 Vol.

AfD
87%

SPD
13%

Les Verts
<1%

CDU
<1%

FDP
<1%

BSW
<1%

Linke
<1%

FW
<1%
AfD 87%
SPD 13%
Les Verts <1%
CDU <1%
$217,972 Vol.
$217,972 Vol.

AfD
87%

SPD
13%

Les Verts
<1%

CDU
<1%

FDP
<1%

BSW
<1%

Linke
<1%

FW
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Marché ouvert : Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...AfD maintains a commanding lead in recent opinion polls for Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's September 20, 2026, state election, reflecting sustained voter support in eastern Germany amid broader trends favoring the party. Current surveys place AfD at 34–37 percent, well ahead of the incumbent SPD at 23–27 percent, with CDU, Linke, and smaller parties trailing further behind. This positioning has held steady through early 2026, with only marginal narrowing in the SPD's deficit in the most recent infratest dimap data. Traders' consensus pricing aligns with these consistent polling margins and the structural challenges facing coalition alternatives, underscoring limited near-term shifts that could alter the frontrunner status before election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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