AfD maintains a clear lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag polling at 34–38 percent, well ahead of the incumbent SPD at 23–27 percent and the CDU further back, according to recent surveys from Infratest dimap, INSA, and Forsa. This positioning three months before the September 20, 2026 election underpins the market's assessment of AfD as the likely plurality winner. The party's strength reflects broader eastern German trends and voter shifts away from the long-governing SPD-Left coalition. Other parties remain fragmented with low single-digit support, reducing prospects for alternative majorities. No major late shifts have altered these patterns in recent weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
AfD 76%
SPD 24%
Linke <1%
CDU <1%
$314,040 Vol.
$314,040 Vol.
20 sept. 2026
AfD
76%
SPD
24%
Linke
<1%
CDU
<1%
FW
<1%
Grüne
<1%
FDP
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 76%
SPD 24%
Linke <1%
CDU <1%
$314,040 Vol.
$314,040 Vol.
20 sept. 2026
AfD
$26,732 Vol.
76%
SPD
$61,336 Vol.
24%
Linke
$19,435 Vol.
<1%
CDU
$35,770 Vol.
<1%
FW
$29,391 Vol.
<1%
Grüne
$61,200 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$61,931 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$18,245 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD maintains a clear lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag polling at 34–38 percent, well ahead of the incumbent SPD at 23–27 percent and the CDU further back, according to recent surveys from Infratest dimap, INSA, and Forsa. This positioning three months before the September 20, 2026 election underpins the market's assessment of AfD as the likely plurality winner. The party's strength reflects broader eastern German trends and voter shifts away from the long-governing SPD-Left coalition. Other parties remain fragmented with low single-digit support, reducing prospects for alternative majorities. No major late shifts have altered these patterns in recent weeks.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Marché ouvert : Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$314,040Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD maintains a clear lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag polling at 34–38 percent, well ahead of the incumbent SPD at 23–27 percent and the CDU further back, according to recent surveys from Infratest dimap, INSA, and Forsa. This positioning three months before the September 20, 2026 election underpins the market's assessment of AfD as the likely plurality winner. The party's strength reflects broader eastern German trends and voter shifts away from the long-governing SPD-Left coalition. Other parties remain fragmented with low single-digit support, reducing prospects for alternative majorities. No major late shifts have altered these patterns in recent weeks.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$314,040Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...AfD maintains a clear lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag polling at 34–38 percent, well ahead of the incumbent SPD at 23–27 percent and the CDU further back, according to recent surveys from Infratest dimap, INSA, and Forsa. This positioning three months before the September 20, 2026 election underpins the market's assessment of AfD as the likely plurality winner. The party's strength reflects broader eastern German trends and voter shifts away from the long-governing SPD-Left coalition. Other parties remain fragmented with low single-digit support, reducing prospects for alternative majorities. No major late shifts have altered these patterns in recent weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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