AfD maintains a consistent lead in recent opinion polls for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, with surveys from INSA and Infratest dimap in July and August showing the party at 35–36 percent ahead of the incumbent SPD at 28–29 percent. This eastern German state has seen AfD support solidify amid regional voter patterns that favor the party beyond national averages, positioning it for a likely plurality of seats. Trader consensus aligns with these trends and limited remaining campaign time, while noting complex coalition arithmetic given other parties' reluctance to partner with AfD. A recent debate controversy, with RTL narrowing a planned forum to a head-to-head between SPD Minister-President Manuela Schwesig and AfD candidate Leif-Erik Holm, has further highlighted the two leading contenders without altering the underlying polling gap.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection parlementaire Mecklembourg-Poméranie-Occidentale
Vainqueur de l'élection parlementaire Mecklembourg-Poméranie-Occidentale
AfD 85%
SPD 16%
Linke <1%
FW <1%
$455,803 Vol.
$455,803 Vol.
20 sept. 2026
AfD
85%
SPD
16%
Linke
<1%
FW
<1%
CDU
<1%
Les Verts
<1%
FDP
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 85%
SPD 16%
Linke <1%
FW <1%
$455,803 Vol.
$455,803 Vol.
20 sept. 2026
AfD
$79,687 Vol.
85%
SPD
$96,435 Vol.
16%
Linke
$27,668 Vol.
<1%
FW
$36,709 Vol.
<1%
CDU
$44,445 Vol.
<1%
Les Verts
$71,444 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$77,089 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$22,326 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD maintains a consistent lead in recent opinion polls for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, with surveys from INSA and Infratest dimap in July and August showing the party at 35–36 percent ahead of the incumbent SPD at 28–29 percent. This eastern German state has seen AfD support solidify amid regional voter patterns that favor the party beyond national averages, positioning it for a likely plurality of seats. Trader consensus aligns with these trends and limited remaining campaign time, while noting complex coalition arithmetic given other parties' reluctance to partner with AfD. A recent debate controversy, with RTL narrowing a planned forum to a head-to-head between SPD Minister-President Manuela Schwesig and AfD candidate Leif-Erik Holm, has further highlighted the two leading contenders without altering the underlying polling gap.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Marché ouvert : Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$455,803Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD maintains a consistent lead in recent opinion polls for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, with surveys from INSA and Infratest dimap in July and August showing the party at 35–36 percent ahead of the incumbent SPD at 28–29 percent. This eastern German state has seen AfD support solidify amid regional voter patterns that favor the party beyond national averages, positioning it for a likely plurality of seats. Trader consensus aligns with these trends and limited remaining campaign time, while noting complex coalition arithmetic given other parties' reluctance to partner with AfD. A recent debate controversy, with RTL narrowing a planned forum to a head-to-head between SPD Minister-President Manuela Schwesig and AfD candidate Leif-Erik Holm, has further highlighted the two leading contenders without altering the underlying polling gap.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$455,803Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...AfD maintains a consistent lead in recent opinion polls for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, with surveys from INSA and Infratest dimap in July and August showing the party at 35–36 percent ahead of the incumbent SPD at 28–29 percent. This eastern German state has seen AfD support solidify amid regional voter patterns that favor the party beyond national averages, positioning it for a likely plurality of seats. Trader consensus aligns with these trends and limited remaining campaign time, while noting complex coalition arithmetic given other parties' reluctance to partner with AfD. A recent debate controversy, with RTL narrowing a planned forum to a head-to-head between SPD Minister-President Manuela Schwesig and AfD candidate Leif-Erik Holm, has further highlighted the two leading contenders without altering the underlying polling gap.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Le Linke remportera-t-il le troisième plus grand nombre de sièges aux élections parlementaires de 2026 en Mecklembourg-Poméranie-Occidentale ?
75%
Oui
Le SPD remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de sièges aux élections parlementaires de 2026 en Mecklembourg-Poméranie-Occidentale ?
86%
Oui
Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
60%
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes