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icon for Élection au Sénat du Pará : 2e place
Élections·Brésil

Élection au Sénat du Pará : 2e place

icon for Élection au Sénat du Pará : 2e place
Élections·Brésil

Élection au Sénat du Pará : 2e place

Breno Guimarães 87%

Celso Sabino 87%

Chicão 87%

Conti 87%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Breno Guimarães 87%

Celso Sabino 87%

Chicão 87%

Conti 87%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Breno Guimarães

Breno Guimarães

$0 Vol.

87%

icon for Celso Sabino

Celso Sabino

$0 Vol.

87%

icon for Chicão

Chicão

$0 Vol.

87%

icon for Conti

Conti

$0 Vol.

87%

icon for Délégué Éder Mauro

Délégué Éder Mauro

$0 Vol.

87%

icon for Edlaine Rodrigues

Edlaine Rodrigues

$0 Vol.

87%

icon for Fernanda Lopes

Fernanda Lopes

$0 Vol.

87%

icon for Gizelle Freitas

Gizelle Freitas

$0 Vol.

87%

icon for Helder

Helder

$0 Vol.

87%

icon for Willem da Silva

Willem da Silva

$0 Vol.

87%

icon for Zequinha Marinho

Zequinha Marinho

$0 Vol.

87%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Pará Senate race, where voters select two candidates for the state's federal seats and the top two finishers prevail, trader consensus reflects a fragmented contest with no dominant contender for second place. A July 2026 Genial/Quaest survey positioned ex-governor Helder Barbalho (MDB) in the lead at 21-23%, while federal deputy Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) and former senator Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) hovered near 14-15% in stimulated scenarios, with several other names—including Celso Sabino (PDT), Chicão (União), and newer entrants like Breno Guimarães (Mobiliza, launched August 5)—trailing or untested at scale. High volatility stems from 57% of respondents indicating they could still switch preferences, limited recent statewide polling, and the two-month window before October voting, which keeps multiple paths open depending on party alliances, regional turnout, and campaign momentum.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Pará Senate race, where voters select two candidates for the state's federal seats and the top two finishers prevail, trader consensus reflects a fragmented contest with no dominant contender for second place. A July 2026 Genial/Quaest survey positioned ex-governor Helder Barbalho (MDB) in the lead at 21-23%, while federal deputy Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) and former senator Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) hovered near 14-15% in stimulated scenarios, with several other names—including Celso Sabino (PDT), Chicão (União), and newer entrants like Breno Guimarães (Mobiliza, launched August 5)—trailing or untested at scale. High volatility stems from 57% of respondents indicating they could still switch preferences, limited recent statewide polling, and the two-month window before October voting, which keeps multiple paths open depending on party alliances, regional turnout, and campaign momentum.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Connexes

icon for Chicão remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Pará ?

Chicão remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Pará ?

44%
Oui
icon for Adriano Trajano obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Paraíba en 2026 ?

Adriano Trajano obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Paraíba en 2026 ?

44%
Oui
icon for Capitão Alberto Neto obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de l'Amazonas en 2026 ?

Capitão Alberto Neto obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de l'Amazonas en 2026 ?

44%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection au Sénat du Pará : 2e place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Breno Guimarães » à 44%, suivi de « Celso Sabino » à 44%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 44¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 44% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Élection au Sénat du Pará : 2e place » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Élection au Sénat du Pará : 2e place », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection au Sénat du Pará : 2e place » est « Breno Guimarães » à 44%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 44% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Celso Sabino » à 44%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection au Sénat du Pará : 2e place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.