Recent polling in Maranhão shows a competitive gubernatorial contest heading into the October 2026 election, with Eduardo Braide (PSD) and Orleans Brandão (MDB) as the clear frontrunners. Braide, who stepped down as São Luís mayor, frequently leads or ties Brandão in May surveys from AtlasIntel and Econométrica, though margins range from double digits to statistical dead heats depending on scenario and alliances. Brandão benefits from the state’s MDB-led political machine and ties to incumbent Carlos Brandão, while Braide draws support as an independent-minded centrist. Smaller shares for Lahesio Bonfim, Felipe Camarão, and others reflect a fragmented field and ongoing negotiations over left-leaning backing. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty and the potential for late coalition shifts or turnout differences to decide the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourEduardo Braide 45%
Orleans Brandão 37%
Lahesio Bonfim 10%
Felipe Camarão 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 oct. 2026
Eduardo Braide
45%
Orleans Brandão
37%
Lahesio Bonfim
10%
Felipe Camarão
8%
Enilton Rodrigues
5%
André Luís
4%
Eduardo Braide 45%
Orleans Brandão 37%
Lahesio Bonfim 10%
Felipe Camarão 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 oct. 2026
Eduardo Braide
$544 Vol.
45%
Orleans Brandão
$69 Vol.
37%
Lahesio Bonfim
$68 Vol.
10%
Felipe Camarão
$64 Vol.
8%
Enilton Rodrigues
$275 Vol.
5%
André Luís
$169 Vol.
4%
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Maranhão shows a competitive gubernatorial contest heading into the October 2026 election, with Eduardo Braide (PSD) and Orleans Brandão (MDB) as the clear frontrunners. Braide, who stepped down as São Luís mayor, frequently leads or ties Brandão in May surveys from AtlasIntel and Econométrica, though margins range from double digits to statistical dead heats depending on scenario and alliances. Brandão benefits from the state’s MDB-led political machine and ties to incumbent Carlos Brandão, while Braide draws support as an independent-minded centrist. Smaller shares for Lahesio Bonfim, Felipe Camarão, and others reflect a fragmented field and ongoing negotiations over left-leaning backing. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty and the potential for late coalition shifts or turnout differences to decide the outcome.
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
Volume
$1,189Date de fin
5 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Maranhão shows a competitive gubernatorial contest heading into the October 2026 election, with Eduardo Braide (PSD) and Orleans Brandão (MDB) as the clear frontrunners. Braide, who stepped down as São Luís mayor, frequently leads or ties Brandão in May surveys from AtlasIntel and Econométrica, though margins range from double digits to statistical dead heats depending on scenario and alliances. Brandão benefits from the state’s MDB-led political machine and ties to incumbent Carlos Brandão, while Braide draws support as an independent-minded centrist. Smaller shares for Lahesio Bonfim, Felipe Camarão, and others reflect a fragmented field and ongoing negotiations over left-leaning backing. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty and the potential for late coalition shifts or turnout differences to decide the outcome.
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$1,189Date de fin
5 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Maranhão shows a competitive gubernatorial contest heading into the October 2026 election, with Eduardo Braide (PSD) and Orleans Brandão (MDB) as the clear frontrunners. Braide, who stepped down as São Luís mayor, frequently leads or ties Brandão in May surveys from AtlasIntel and Econométrica, though margins range from double digits to statistical dead heats depending on scenario and alliances. Brandão benefits from the state’s MDB-led political machine and ties to incumbent Carlos Brandão, while Braide draws support as an independent-minded centrist. Smaller shares for Lahesio Bonfim, Felipe Camarão, and others reflect a fragmented field and ongoing negotiations over left-leaning backing. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty and the potential for late coalition shifts or turnout differences to decide the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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