Ricardo Ferraço, the incumbent governor of Espírito Santo who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation, holds a leading position in the race for re-election. Recent polling from late August and early September shows him ahead in first-round scenarios with shares typically between 35% and 43%, ahead of main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini, the former mayor of Vitória. Ferraço’s edge reflects incumbency benefits, coalition support including the MDB and allied parties, and stronger second-round projections against Pazolini. Pazolini’s Republicanos ticket draws from his mayoral record and recent name recognition, yet trails in most surveys. Other registered candidates, such as Helder Salomão of the PT, register lower single-digit support. With the first round scheduled for October 4, trader consensus aligns with polling trends favoring the incumbent while leaving room for shifts in the final weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRicardo Ferraço 66%
Lorenzo Pazolini 35%
Sergio Vidigal <1%
Arnaldinho Borgo <1%
$40,175 Vol.
$40,175 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Ricardo Ferraço
66%
Lorenzo Pazolini
35%
Sergio Vidigal
<1%
Arnaldinho Borgo
<1%
Euclério Sampaio
<1%
Ricardo Ferraço 66%
Lorenzo Pazolini 35%
Sergio Vidigal <1%
Arnaldinho Borgo <1%
$40,175 Vol.
$40,175 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Ricardo Ferraço
$14,350 Vol.
66%
Lorenzo Pazolini
$13,943 Vol.
35%
Sergio Vidigal
$3,569 Vol.
<1%
Arnaldinho Borgo
$4,885 Vol.
<1%
Euclério Sampaio
$3,428 Vol.
<1%
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço, the incumbent governor of Espírito Santo who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation, holds a leading position in the race for re-election. Recent polling from late August and early September shows him ahead in first-round scenarios with shares typically between 35% and 43%, ahead of main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini, the former mayor of Vitória. Ferraço’s edge reflects incumbency benefits, coalition support including the MDB and allied parties, and stronger second-round projections against Pazolini. Pazolini’s Republicanos ticket draws from his mayoral record and recent name recognition, yet trails in most surveys. Other registered candidates, such as Helder Salomão of the PT, register lower single-digit support. With the first round scheduled for October 4, trader consensus aligns with polling trends favoring the incumbent while leaving room for shifts in the final weeks.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Volume
$40,175Date de fin
5 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço, the incumbent governor of Espírito Santo who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation, holds a leading position in the race for re-election. Recent polling from late August and early September shows him ahead in first-round scenarios with shares typically between 35% and 43%, ahead of main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini, the former mayor of Vitória. Ferraço’s edge reflects incumbency benefits, coalition support including the MDB and allied parties, and stronger second-round projections against Pazolini. Pazolini’s Republicanos ticket draws from his mayoral record and recent name recognition, yet trails in most surveys. Other registered candidates, such as Helder Salomão of the PT, register lower single-digit support. With the first round scheduled for October 4, trader consensus aligns with polling trends favoring the incumbent while leaving room for shifts in the final weeks.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$40,175Date de fin
5 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Ricardo Ferraço, the incumbent governor of Espírito Santo who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation, holds a leading position in the race for re-election. Recent polling from late August and early September shows him ahead in first-round scenarios with shares typically between 35% and 43%, ahead of main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini, the former mayor of Vitória. Ferraço’s edge reflects incumbency benefits, coalition support including the MDB and allied parties, and stronger second-round projections against Pazolini. Pazolini’s Republicanos ticket draws from his mayoral record and recent name recognition, yet trails in most surveys. Other registered candidates, such as Helder Salomão of the PT, register lower single-digit support. With the first round scheduled for October 4, trader consensus aligns with polling trends favoring the incumbent while leaving room for shifts in the final weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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