Cleitinho Azevedo holds the leading position in the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial race due to consistent first-round polling leads of 28–37% through May 2026, backed by strong conservative and evangelical support in Brazil’s second-largest electoral state. The field remains fragmented, with challengers including Alexandre Kalil, Mateus Simões, and low-single-digit showings for Rodrigo Pacheco, Nikolas Ferreira, and others. Incumbent Romeu Zema is term-limited, while left-leaning efforts face uncertainty after Pacheco stepped back from a potential run amid stalled alliance talks with the Lula administration. Potential Republican-PL alignment and Cleitinho’s continued pre-campaign positioning reinforce trader consensus around his frontrunner status ahead of the October 4 first round.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCleitinho Azevedo 59%
Mateus Simões 6.7%
Rodrigo Pacheco 7%
Alexandre Kalil 5.3%
$77,169 Vol.
$77,169 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Cleitinho Azevedo
59%
Mateus Simões
7%
Rodrigo Pacheco
7%
Alexandre Kalil
5%
Gabriel Azevedo
5%
Benoni Mendes
2%
Nikolas Ferreira
1%
Alexandre Silveira
1%
Aécio Neves
1%
Tadeu Leite
1%
Cleitinho Azevedo 59%
Mateus Simões 6.7%
Rodrigo Pacheco 7%
Alexandre Kalil 5.3%
$77,169 Vol.
$77,169 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Cleitinho Azevedo
$24,811 Vol.
59%
Mateus Simões
$3,400 Vol.
7%
Rodrigo Pacheco
$15,854 Vol.
7%
Alexandre Kalil
$17,822 Vol.
5%
Gabriel Azevedo
$3,107 Vol.
5%
Benoni Mendes
$2,405 Vol.
2%
Nikolas Ferreira
$4,126 Vol.
1%
Alexandre Silveira
$1,404 Vol.
1%
Aécio Neves
$1,749 Vol.
1%
Tadeu Leite
$2,489 Vol.
1%
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cleitinho Azevedo holds the leading position in the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial race due to consistent first-round polling leads of 28–37% through May 2026, backed by strong conservative and evangelical support in Brazil’s second-largest electoral state. The field remains fragmented, with challengers including Alexandre Kalil, Mateus Simões, and low-single-digit showings for Rodrigo Pacheco, Nikolas Ferreira, and others. Incumbent Romeu Zema is term-limited, while left-leaning efforts face uncertainty after Pacheco stepped back from a potential run amid stalled alliance talks with the Lula administration. Potential Republican-PL alignment and Cleitinho’s continued pre-campaign positioning reinforce trader consensus around his frontrunner status ahead of the October 4 first round.
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Volume
$77,169Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cleitinho Azevedo holds the leading position in the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial race due to consistent first-round polling leads of 28–37% through May 2026, backed by strong conservative and evangelical support in Brazil’s second-largest electoral state. The field remains fragmented, with challengers including Alexandre Kalil, Mateus Simões, and low-single-digit showings for Rodrigo Pacheco, Nikolas Ferreira, and others. Incumbent Romeu Zema is term-limited, while left-leaning efforts face uncertainty after Pacheco stepped back from a potential run amid stalled alliance talks with the Lula administration. Potential Republican-PL alignment and Cleitinho’s continued pre-campaign positioning reinforce trader consensus around his frontrunner status ahead of the October 4 first round.
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$77,169Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cleitinho Azevedo holds the leading position in the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial race due to consistent first-round polling leads of 28–37% through May 2026, backed by strong conservative and evangelical support in Brazil’s second-largest electoral state. The field remains fragmented, with challengers including Alexandre Kalil, Mateus Simões, and low-single-digit showings for Rodrigo Pacheco, Nikolas Ferreira, and others. Incumbent Romeu Zema is term-limited, while left-leaning efforts face uncertainty after Pacheco stepped back from a potential run amid stalled alliance talks with the Lula administration. Potential Republican-PL alignment and Cleitinho’s continued pre-campaign positioning reinforce trader consensus around his frontrunner status ahead of the October 4 first round.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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