Daniel Vilela (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in March 2026 following Ronaldo Caiado’s resignation, holds a commanding lead in the October 4 first-round contest for the Goiás governorship. Recent polling shows him at 37–45% of first-round intentions, well ahead of Marconi Perillo (PSDB) and other registered candidates, supported by approval ratings near 64% for his administration and a wide coalition spanning MDB, PSD, Republicanos, and additional parties. Traders price this continuity and organizational strength at 96.8% probability. A realistic shift would require substantial late erosion of his support through voter reconsideration—42% of respondents in one August survey indicated openness to changing their choice—or unexpected developments in the final weeks before the vote and any potential runoff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourDaniel Vilela 96.4%
Marconi Perillo 2.1%
Adriana Accorsi <1%
Vanderlan Cardoso <1%
$35,551 Vol.
$35,551 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Daniel Vilela
96%
Marconi Perillo
2%
Adriana Accorsi
<1%
Vanderlan Cardoso
<1%
Wilder Morais
<1%
Daniel Vilela 96.4%
Marconi Perillo 2.1%
Adriana Accorsi <1%
Vanderlan Cardoso <1%
$35,551 Vol.
$35,551 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Daniel Vilela
$27,665 Vol.
96%
Marconi Perillo
$2,881 Vol.
2%
Adriana Accorsi
$1,538 Vol.
<1%
Vanderlan Cardoso
$1,668 Vol.
<1%
Wilder Morais
$1,798 Vol.
<1%
The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Daniel Vilela (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in March 2026 following Ronaldo Caiado’s resignation, holds a commanding lead in the October 4 first-round contest for the Goiás governorship. Recent polling shows him at 37–45% of first-round intentions, well ahead of Marconi Perillo (PSDB) and other registered candidates, supported by approval ratings near 64% for his administration and a wide coalition spanning MDB, PSD, Republicanos, and additional parties. Traders price this continuity and organizational strength at 96.8% probability. A realistic shift would require substantial late erosion of his support through voter reconsideration—42% of respondents in one August survey indicated openness to changing their choice—or unexpected developments in the final weeks before the vote and any potential runoff.
The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
Volume
$35,551Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Daniel Vilela (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in March 2026 following Ronaldo Caiado’s resignation, holds a commanding lead in the October 4 first-round contest for the Goiás governorship. Recent polling shows him at 37–45% of first-round intentions, well ahead of Marconi Perillo (PSDB) and other registered candidates, supported by approval ratings near 64% for his administration and a wide coalition spanning MDB, PSD, Republicanos, and additional parties. Traders price this continuity and organizational strength at 96.8% probability. A realistic shift would require substantial late erosion of his support through voter reconsideration—42% of respondents in one August survey indicated openness to changing their choice—or unexpected developments in the final weeks before the vote and any potential runoff.
The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$35,551Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Daniel Vilela (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in March 2026 following Ronaldo Caiado’s resignation, holds a commanding lead in the October 4 first-round contest for the Goiás governorship. Recent polling shows him at 37–45% of first-round intentions, well ahead of Marconi Perillo (PSDB) and other registered candidates, supported by approval ratings near 64% for his administration and a wide coalition spanning MDB, PSD, Republicanos, and additional parties. Traders price this continuity and organizational strength at 96.8% probability. A realistic shift would require substantial late erosion of his support through voter reconsideration—42% of respondents in one August survey indicated openness to changing their choice—or unexpected developments in the final weeks before the vote and any potential runoff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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