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Politique·Élections Mondiales

Prochaine élection sénatoriale au Brésil : le plus grand nombre de sièges gagnés

icon for Prochaine élection sénatoriale au Brésil : le plus grand nombre de sièges gagnés
Politique·Élections Mondiales

Prochaine élection sénatoriale au Brésil : le plus grand nombre de sièges gagnés

PL 71%

MDB 17.8%

UNIÃO 5.0%

REPUBLICANOS 4.7%

Polymarket

$253,885 Vol.

PL 71%

MDB 17.8%

UNIÃO 5.0%

REPUBLICANOS 4.7%

Polymarket

$253,885 Vol.

icon for PL

PL

$242,655 Vol.

71%

icon for MDB

MDB

$966 Vol.

18%

icon for UNIÃO

UNIÃO

$958 Vol.

5%

icon for REPUBLICANOS

REPUBLICANOS

$1,075 Vol.

5%

icon for PSD

PSD

$1,046 Vol.

3%

icon for PT

PT

$1,040 Vol.

3%

icon for PSB

PSB

$1,058 Vol.

1%

icon for PSDB

PSDB

$1,023 Vol.

<1%

icon for NOVO

NOVO

$1,134 Vol.

<1%

icon for PODEMOS

PODEMOS

$1,151 Vol.

<1%

icon for PP

PP

$935 Vol.

<1%

icon for PDT

PDT

$843 Vol.

<1%

The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election. Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Trader consensus heavily favors the Partido Liberal (PL) at 75.5% implied probability to win the most seats in Brazil's next Senate election, where 54 of 81 seats—two-thirds of the chamber—renew on October 4, 2026. Late April Genial/Quaest and other polls across key states like São Paulo, Minas Gerais, Rio de Janeiro, Paraná, Rondônia, Goiás, and Mato Grosso show PL candidates and right-wing opposition frontrunners leading or competitive in multiple two-seat races, bolstered by PL's status as the current largest Senate party with 15 members following January party switches. The Senate's April 29 rejection of President Lula's Supreme Court nominee amplified opposition momentum, while PT trails at 2.9% amid struggles beyond Northeast strongholds. Upcoming party conventions in June could refine coalitions ahead of the campaign launch in August.

The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.

Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$253,885
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election. Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election. Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Trader consensus heavily favors the Partido Liberal (PL) at 75.5% implied probability to win the most seats in Brazil's next Senate election, where 54 of 81 seats—two-thirds of the chamber—renew on October 4, 2026. Late April Genial/Quaest and other polls across key states like São Paulo, Minas Gerais, Rio de Janeiro, Paraná, Rondônia, Goiás, and Mato Grosso show PL candidates and right-wing opposition frontrunners leading or competitive in multiple two-seat races, bolstered by PL's status as the current largest Senate party with 15 members following January party switches. The Senate's April 29 rejection of President Lula's Supreme Court nominee amplified opposition momentum, while PT trails at 2.9% amid struggles beyond Northeast strongholds. Upcoming party conventions in June could refine coalitions ahead of the campaign launch in August.

The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.

Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$253,885
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election. Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Questions fréquentes

« Prochaine élection sénatoriale au Brésil : le plus grand nombre de sièges gagnés » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 12 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « PL » à 71%, suivi de « MDB » à 18%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 71¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 71% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Prochaine élection sénatoriale au Brésil : le plus grand nombre de sièges gagnés » a généré $253.9K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Feb 11, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Prochaine élection sénatoriale au Brésil : le plus grand nombre de sièges gagnés », parcourez les 12 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Prochaine élection sénatoriale au Brésil : le plus grand nombre de sièges gagnés » est « PL » à 71%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 71% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « MDB » à 18%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Prochaine élection sénatoriale au Brésil : le plus grand nombre de sièges gagnés » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.