Chou Chun-mi, the Democratic Progressive Party incumbent magistrate of Pingtung County, holds an 87% implied probability in the Polymarket market ahead of Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections, while the Kuomintang nominee Su Ching-chuan sits at 13%. DPP party structures confirmed Chou’s renomination in early 2026, leveraging her 2022 victory and established local networks in a county with recent DPP majorities. KMT endorsement of Su, a former legislator, occurred in late 2025 as part of broader southern Taiwan candidate selections, yet lacks evidence of major shifts in voter coalitions or polling momentum that would close the gap. Multiple other listed candidates remain at market midpoints, reflecting limited credible alternatives entering the race at this stage. The current trader consensus aligns with historical incumbency patterns and party positioning in Pingtung without recent disruptive events altering the balance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 juin 2027
Chou Chun-mi
87%
Su Ching-chuan
13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 juin 2027
Chou Chun-mi
$1,507 Vol.
87%
Su Ching-chuan
$1,598 Vol.
13%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chou Chun-mi, the Democratic Progressive Party incumbent magistrate of Pingtung County, holds an 87% implied probability in the Polymarket market ahead of Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections, while the Kuomintang nominee Su Ching-chuan sits at 13%. DPP party structures confirmed Chou’s renomination in early 2026, leveraging her 2022 victory and established local networks in a county with recent DPP majorities. KMT endorsement of Su, a former legislator, occurred in late 2025 as part of broader southern Taiwan candidate selections, yet lacks evidence of major shifts in voter coalitions or polling momentum that would close the gap. Multiple other listed candidates remain at market midpoints, reflecting limited credible alternatives entering the race at this stage. The current trader consensus aligns with historical incumbency patterns and party positioning in Pingtung without recent disruptive events altering the balance.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Volume
$3,105Date de fin
28 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 9:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chou Chun-mi, the Democratic Progressive Party incumbent magistrate of Pingtung County, holds an 87% implied probability in the Polymarket market ahead of Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections, while the Kuomintang nominee Su Ching-chuan sits at 13%. DPP party structures confirmed Chou’s renomination in early 2026, leveraging her 2022 victory and established local networks in a county with recent DPP majorities. KMT endorsement of Su, a former legislator, occurred in late 2025 as part of broader southern Taiwan candidate selections, yet lacks evidence of major shifts in voter coalitions or polling momentum that would close the gap. Multiple other listed candidates remain at market midpoints, reflecting limited credible alternatives entering the race at this stage. The current trader consensus aligns with historical incumbency patterns and party positioning in Pingtung without recent disruptive events altering the balance.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$3,105Date de fin
28 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 9:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chou Chun-mi, the Democratic Progressive Party incumbent magistrate of Pingtung County, holds an 87% implied probability in the Polymarket market ahead of Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections, while the Kuomintang nominee Su Ching-chuan sits at 13%. DPP party structures confirmed Chou’s renomination in early 2026, leveraging her 2022 victory and established local networks in a county with recent DPP majorities. KMT endorsement of Su, a former legislator, occurred in late 2025 as part of broader southern Taiwan candidate selections, yet lacks evidence of major shifts in voter coalitions or polling momentum that would close the gap. Multiple other listed candidates remain at market midpoints, reflecting limited credible alternatives entering the race at this stage. The current trader consensus aligns with historical incumbency patterns and party positioning in Pingtung without recent disruptive events altering the balance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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