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Politique·Élection Principale

Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Taipei

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Taipei
Politique·Élection Principale

Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Taipei

Chiang Wan-an 92%

Puma Shen 4.2%

Kuo Hsi 2.0%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Chiang Wan-an 92%

Puma Shen 4.2%

Kuo Hsi 2.0%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Chiang Wan-an

Chiang Wan-an

$2,036 Vol.

92%

icon for Puma Shen

Puma Shen

$974 Vol.

4%

icon for Kuo Hsi

Kuo Hsi

$118 Vol.

2%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chiang Wan-an, the Kuomintang incumbent, holds a commanding position in the November 28, 2026 Taipei mayoral race, reflected in trader consensus above 90 percent. His lead stems from sustained double-digit polling margins over Democratic Progressive Party nominee Puma Shen, strengthened cross-party appeal developed during his first term, and robust KMT organizational infrastructure in the capital. Shen’s May 2026 nomination as a first-term legislator focused on security issues has not narrowed the gap, with recent surveys showing Chiang ahead by roughly 20–30 points. Late developments that could alter probabilities include major scandals, sharp shifts in turnout among key demographics, or unforeseen national security events within the final months before voting.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$3,128
Date de fin
28 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 8:24 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chiang Wan-an, the Kuomintang incumbent, holds a commanding position in the November 28, 2026 Taipei mayoral race, reflected in trader consensus above 90 percent. His lead stems from sustained double-digit polling margins over Democratic Progressive Party nominee Puma Shen, strengthened cross-party appeal developed during his first term, and robust KMT organizational infrastructure in the capital. Shen’s May 2026 nomination as a first-term legislator focused on security issues has not narrowed the gap, with recent surveys showing Chiang ahead by roughly 20–30 points. Late developments that could alter probabilities include major scandals, sharp shifts in turnout among key demographics, or unforeseen national security events within the final months before voting.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$3,128
Date de fin
28 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 8:24 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Connexes

icon for Lee Shu-chuan gagnera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de New Taipei ?

Lee Shu-chuan gagnera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de New Taipei ?

78%
Oui
icon for Johnny Chiang va-t-il gagner la prochaine élection du maire de Taichung ?

Johnny Chiang va-t-il gagner la prochaine élection du maire de Taichung ?

89%
Oui
icon for Lai Jui-lung gagnera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de Kaohsiung ?

Lai Jui-lung gagnera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de Kaohsiung ?

84%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Taipei » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Chiang Wan-an » à 92%, suivi de « Puma Shen » à 4%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 92¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 92% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Taipei » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 14, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Taipei », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Taipei » est « Chiang Wan-an » à 92%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 92% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Puma Shen » à 4%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Taipei » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.