Recent polls from early May, including NPR and CNN surveys, reveal a Democratic enthusiasm advantage over Republicans heading into the 2026 midterms, fueling trader consensus for House turnout around 120-130 million votes—well above 2022's 111 million total. Record Democratic primary participation in North Carolina (800,000 voters in March) and Latino surges in South Texas, alongside consistent Democratic overperformance in April special elections like Wisconsin and Georgia, signal broader mobilization potential. Yet the race remains tight, with probabilities clustered due to historical midterm turnout volatility, Republican enthusiasm gaps amid sagging Trump approval, and uncertainty over base turnout in battleground states. Summer primaries, generic ballot shifts, and economic indicators could tip the balance toward higher or lower ranges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour125-130m 26%
115-120m 16%
120-125 millions 12%
110-115 millions 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
<85M
<1%
85-90 millions
<1%
90-95 millions
1%
95-100m
5%
100-105m
1%
105-110m
7%
110-115 millions
12%
115-120m
16%
120-125 millions
20%
125-130m
26%
130M+
29%
125-130m 26%
115-120m 16%
120-125 millions 12%
110-115 millions 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
<85M
$324 Vol.
<1%
85-90 millions
$419 Vol.
<1%
90-95 millions
$1,552 Vol.
1%
95-100m
$269 Vol.
5%
100-105m
$791 Vol.
1%
105-110m
$436 Vol.
7%
110-115 millions
$526 Vol.
12%
115-120m
$1,025 Vol.
16%
120-125 millions
$408 Vol.
20%
125-130m
$1,199 Vol.
26%
130M+
$294 Vol.
29%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent polls from early May, including NPR and CNN surveys, reveal a Democratic enthusiasm advantage over Republicans heading into the 2026 midterms, fueling trader consensus for House turnout around 120-130 million votes—well above 2022's 111 million total. Record Democratic primary participation in North Carolina (800,000 voters in March) and Latino surges in South Texas, alongside consistent Democratic overperformance in April special elections like Wisconsin and Georgia, signal broader mobilization potential. Yet the race remains tight, with probabilities clustered due to historical midterm turnout volatility, Republican enthusiasm gaps amid sagging Trump approval, and uncertainty over base turnout in battleground states. Summer primaries, generic ballot shifts, and economic indicators could tip the balance toward higher or lower ranges.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$7,242Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent polls from early May, including NPR and CNN surveys, reveal a Democratic enthusiasm advantage over Republicans heading into the 2026 midterms, fueling trader consensus for House turnout around 120-130 million votes—well above 2022's 111 million total. Record Democratic primary participation in North Carolina (800,000 voters in March) and Latino surges in South Texas, alongside consistent Democratic overperformance in April special elections like Wisconsin and Georgia, signal broader mobilization potential. Yet the race remains tight, with probabilities clustered due to historical midterm turnout volatility, Republican enthusiasm gaps amid sagging Trump approval, and uncertainty over base turnout in battleground states. Summer primaries, generic ballot shifts, and economic indicators could tip the balance toward higher or lower ranges.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$7,242Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from early May, including NPR and CNN surveys, reveal a Democratic enthusiasm advantage over Republicans heading into the 2026 midterms, fueling trader consensus for House turnout around 120-130 million votes—well above 2022's 111 million total. Record Democratic primary participation in North Carolina (800,000 voters in March) and Latino surges in South Texas, alongside consistent Democratic overperformance in April special elections like Wisconsin and Georgia, signal broader mobilization potential. Yet the race remains tight, with probabilities clustered due to historical midterm turnout volatility, Republican enthusiasm gaps amid sagging Trump approval, and uncertainty over base turnout in battleground states. Summer primaries, generic ballot shifts, and economic indicators could tip the balance toward higher or lower ranges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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