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Élections·Élections Mondiales

Vainqueur de la nouvelle élection du maire de Taipei

icon for Vainqueur de la nouvelle élection du maire de Taipei
Élections·Élections Mondiales

Vainqueur de la nouvelle élection du maire de Taipei

Lee Shu-chuan 78%

Su Chiao-hui 19%

Huang Kuo-chang <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Lee Shu-chuan 78%

Su Chiao-hui 19%

Huang Kuo-chang <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Lee Shu-chuan

Lee Shu-chuan

$1,392 Vol.

78%

icon for Su Chiao-hui

Su Chiao-hui

$2,971 Vol.

19%

icon for Huang Kuo-chang

Huang Kuo-chang

$745 Vol.

1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lee Shu-chuan secured the joint KMT-TPP nomination for New Taipei mayor in April 2026 after prevailing over TPP chairman Huang Kuo-chang in coordinated polling, prompting Huang to suspend his bid and pledge support. This opposition alignment against term-limited incumbent Hou Yu-ih has positioned Lee ahead in trader pricing for the November election. Recent August surveys show the race tightening, with Lee at 39.3% and DPP nominee Su Chiao-hui at 37.3% amid high undecided voters and elevated turnout intent. Su’s local electoral record and focus on demographic and urban issues keep the contest competitive, while Lee benefits from prior deputy mayor roles and party infrastructure. Huang’s marginal odds reflect his withdrawn candidacy.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$5,108
Date de fin
28 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 8:27 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lee Shu-chuan secured the joint KMT-TPP nomination for New Taipei mayor in April 2026 after prevailing over TPP chairman Huang Kuo-chang in coordinated polling, prompting Huang to suspend his bid and pledge support. This opposition alignment against term-limited incumbent Hou Yu-ih has positioned Lee ahead in trader pricing for the November election. Recent August surveys show the race tightening, with Lee at 39.3% and DPP nominee Su Chiao-hui at 37.3% amid high undecided voters and elevated turnout intent. Su’s local electoral record and focus on demographic and urban issues keep the contest competitive, while Lee benefits from prior deputy mayor roles and party infrastructure. Huang’s marginal odds reflect his withdrawn candidacy.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$5,108
Date de fin
28 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 8:27 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Connexes

icon for Chiang Wan-an remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de Taipei ?

Chiang Wan-an remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de Taipei ?

92%
Oui
icon for Chang San-cheng va-t-il gagner la prochaine élection du maire de Taoyuan ?

Chang San-cheng va-t-il gagner la prochaine élection du maire de Taoyuan ?

90%
Oui
icon for Johnny Chiang va-t-il gagner la prochaine élection du maire de Taichung ?

Johnny Chiang va-t-il gagner la prochaine élection du maire de Taichung ?

89%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de la nouvelle élection du maire de Taipei » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Lee Shu-chuan » à 78%, suivi de « Su Chiao-hui » à 19%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 78¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 78% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de la nouvelle élection du maire de Taipei » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 14, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de la nouvelle élection du maire de Taipei », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de la nouvelle élection du maire de Taipei » est « Lee Shu-chuan » à 78%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 78% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Su Chiao-hui » à 19%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de la nouvelle élection du maire de Taipei » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.