Recent polls, including Talbot Mills (May 1-10) showing Labour at 36% and National at 29%, alongside Taxpayers' Union-Curia (early May) with Labour at 32% and National at 30%, position Labour as the frontrunner in party vote under New Zealand's mixed-member proportional (MMP) system ahead of the November 7 election. National's slump to historic lows reflects Prime Minister Christopher Luxon's leadership challenges, coalition infighting with New Zealand First and ACT, and voter frustration over cost-of-living pressures and economic stagnation after 2.5 years in power. While right-bloc projections hold a slim 62-seat majority, traders' 59.5% consensus on Labour reflects its consistent lead as largest party, with National at 37.5% amid uncertainty in coalition negotiations. Minor parties like Greens, ACT, New Zealand First, and Te Pāti Māori trail far behind due to sub-5% thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNew Zealand legislative election winner?
New Zealand legislative election winner?
Labour Party 68%
National Party 41%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
New Zealand First Party <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 nov. 2026
National Party
37%
Labour Party
60%
Green Party
<1%
ACT New Zealand
<1%
New Zealand First Party
<1%
Te Pāti Māori
1%
Labour Party 68%
National Party 41%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
New Zealand First Party <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 nov. 2026
National Party
$964 Vol.
37%
Labour Party
$1,032 Vol.
60%
Green Party
$269 Vol.
<1%
ACT New Zealand
$279 Vol.
<1%
New Zealand First Party
$259 Vol.
<1%
Te Pāti Māori
$254 Vol.
1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polls, including Talbot Mills (May 1-10) showing Labour at 36% and National at 29%, alongside Taxpayers' Union-Curia (early May) with Labour at 32% and National at 30%, position Labour as the frontrunner in party vote under New Zealand's mixed-member proportional (MMP) system ahead of the November 7 election. National's slump to historic lows reflects Prime Minister Christopher Luxon's leadership challenges, coalition infighting with New Zealand First and ACT, and voter frustration over cost-of-living pressures and economic stagnation after 2.5 years in power. While right-bloc projections hold a slim 62-seat majority, traders' 59.5% consensus on Labour reflects its consistent lead as largest party, with National at 37.5% amid uncertainty in coalition negotiations. Minor parties like Greens, ACT, New Zealand First, and Te Pāti Māori trail far behind due to sub-5% thresholds.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Marché ouvert : Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
Volume
$3,056Date de fin
7 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polls, including Talbot Mills (May 1-10) showing Labour at 36% and National at 29%, alongside Taxpayers' Union-Curia (early May) with Labour at 32% and National at 30%, position Labour as the frontrunner in party vote under New Zealand's mixed-member proportional (MMP) system ahead of the November 7 election. National's slump to historic lows reflects Prime Minister Christopher Luxon's leadership challenges, coalition infighting with New Zealand First and ACT, and voter frustration over cost-of-living pressures and economic stagnation after 2.5 years in power. While right-bloc projections hold a slim 62-seat majority, traders' 59.5% consensus on Labour reflects its consistent lead as largest party, with National at 37.5% amid uncertainty in coalition negotiations. Minor parties like Greens, ACT, New Zealand First, and Te Pāti Māori trail far behind due to sub-5% thresholds.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Volume
$3,056Date de fin
7 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls, including Talbot Mills (May 1-10) showing Labour at 36% and National at 29%, alongside Taxpayers' Union-Curia (early May) with Labour at 32% and National at 30%, position Labour as the frontrunner in party vote under New Zealand's mixed-member proportional (MMP) system ahead of the November 7 election. National's slump to historic lows reflects Prime Minister Christopher Luxon's leadership challenges, coalition infighting with New Zealand First and ACT, and voter frustration over cost-of-living pressures and economic stagnation after 2.5 years in power. While right-bloc projections hold a slim 62-seat majority, traders' 59.5% consensus on Labour reflects its consistent lead as largest party, with National at 37.5% amid uncertainty in coalition negotiations. Minor parties like Greens, ACT, New Zealand First, and Te Pāti Māori trail far behind due to sub-5% thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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