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icon for Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by...?
Politique·Project Freedom

Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by...?

icon for Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by...?
Politique·Project Freedom

Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by...?

NOUVEAU
31 mai 2026
Polymarket

$1,646 Vol.

Polymarket

May 22

$786 Vol.

4%

May 31

$860 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia officially announces that U.S. military aircraft are not permitted to use its airspace or land in its territory, or announces that U.S. military aircraft are not allowed to use certain military bases within Saudi Arabia, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A restriction applying only to a subset of U.S. military aircraft, such as only aircraft involved in a specified U.S. military operation, will qualify. A qualifying restriction must be a standing policy; isolated instances of access denial will not count. A consensus of credible reporting that Saudi Arabia has implemented a qualifying restriction on U.S. military aircraft will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Saudi Arabia’s military cooperation with the United States remains shaped by regional security concerns in the Persian Gulf. In early May 2026, Riyadh temporarily restricted U.S. access to Prince Sultan Airbase and its airspace to support operations in the Strait of Hormuz, citing escalation risks with Iran and insufficient protection assurances for Gulf states. The measures were reversed days later following direct talks between President Trump and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, restoring basing and overflight rights. This episode underscores the influence of Saudi diplomatic priorities on U.S. military posture, ongoing tensions tied to Iran-related activities, and the potential for future access decisions to hinge on bilateral security guarantees and de-escalation efforts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia officially announces that U.S. military aircraft are not permitted to use its airspace or land in its territory, or announces that U.S. military aircraft are not allowed to use certain military bases within Saudi Arabia, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A restriction applying only to a subset of U.S. military aircraft, such as only aircraft involved in a specified U.S. military operation, will qualify.

A qualifying restriction must be a standing policy; isolated instances of access denial will not count.

A consensus of credible reporting that Saudi Arabia has implemented a qualifying restriction on U.S. military aircraft will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,646
Date de fin
31 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia officially announces that U.S. military aircraft are not permitted to use its airspace or land in its territory, or announces that U.S. military aircraft are not allowed to use certain military bases within Saudi Arabia, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A restriction applying only to a subset of U.S. military aircraft, such as only aircraft involved in a specified U.S. military operation, will qualify. A qualifying restriction must be a standing policy; isolated instances of access denial will not count. A consensus of credible reporting that Saudi Arabia has implemented a qualifying restriction on U.S. military aircraft will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia officially announces that U.S. military aircraft are not permitted to use its airspace or land in its territory, or announces that U.S. military aircraft are not allowed to use certain military bases within Saudi Arabia, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A restriction applying only to a subset of U.S. military aircraft, such as only aircraft involved in a specified U.S. military operation, will qualify. A qualifying restriction must be a standing policy; isolated instances of access denial will not count. A consensus of credible reporting that Saudi Arabia has implemented a qualifying restriction on U.S. military aircraft will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Saudi Arabia’s military cooperation with the United States remains shaped by regional security concerns in the Persian Gulf. In early May 2026, Riyadh temporarily restricted U.S. access to Prince Sultan Airbase and its airspace to support operations in the Strait of Hormuz, citing escalation risks with Iran and insufficient protection assurances for Gulf states. The measures were reversed days later following direct talks between President Trump and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, restoring basing and overflight rights. This episode underscores the influence of Saudi diplomatic priorities on U.S. military posture, ongoing tensions tied to Iran-related activities, and the potential for future access decisions to hinge on bilateral security guarantees and de-escalation efforts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia officially announces that U.S. military aircraft are not permitted to use its airspace or land in its territory, or announces that U.S. military aircraft are not allowed to use certain military bases within Saudi Arabia, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A restriction applying only to a subset of U.S. military aircraft, such as only aircraft involved in a specified U.S. military operation, will qualify.

A qualifying restriction must be a standing policy; isolated instances of access denial will not count.

A consensus of credible reporting that Saudi Arabia has implemented a qualifying restriction on U.S. military aircraft will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,646
Date de fin
31 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia officially announces that U.S. military aircraft are not permitted to use its airspace or land in its territory, or announces that U.S. military aircraft are not allowed to use certain military bases within Saudi Arabia, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A restriction applying only to a subset of U.S. military aircraft, such as only aircraft involved in a specified U.S. military operation, will qualify. A qualifying restriction must be a standing policy; isolated instances of access denial will not count. A consensus of credible reporting that Saudi Arabia has implemented a qualifying restriction on U.S. military aircraft will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by...? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « May 31 » à 6%, suivi de « May 22 » à 4%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 6¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 6% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by...? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le May 15, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by...? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

C'est un marché très ouvert. Le leader actuel pour « Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by...? » est « May 31 » à seulement 6%, avec « May 22 » juste derrière à 4%. Aucun résultat ne dominant clairement, les traders voient cela comme très incertain, ce qui peut présenter des opportunités de trading uniques. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel, alors ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by...? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.