Recent IAEA Board action referring Iran to the UN Security Council over nuclear safeguards non-compliance, combined with the expiration of the June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding without a final agreement, has hardened divisions at the Council. The 60-day negotiation window lapsed in August amid renewed tensions, including disputes over inspections, sanctions relief, and the Strait of Hormuz. Russia and China continue to block Western-backed measures on the Iranian nuclear file, while the United States and European allies advance censure resolutions. These developments have shifted diplomatic momentum away from any near-term comprehensive deal that could secure unanimous or sufficient UNSC endorsement before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRésolution du CSNU approuvant l'accord final entre les États-Unis et l'Iran d'ici le 31 décembre ?
Résolution du CSNU approuvant l'accord final entre les États-Unis et l'Iran d'ici le 31 décembre ?
Oui
12% chance
$241,135 Vol.
$241,135 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
12% chance
$241,135 Vol.
$241,135 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent IAEA Board action referring Iran to the UN Security Council over nuclear safeguards non-compliance, combined with the expiration of the June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding without a final agreement, has hardened divisions at the Council. The 60-day negotiation window lapsed in August amid renewed tensions, including disputes over inspections, sanctions relief, and the Strait of Hormuz. Russia and China continue to block Western-backed measures on the Iranian nuclear file, while the United States and European allies advance censure resolutions. These developments have shifted diplomatic momentum away from any near-term comprehensive deal that could secure unanimous or sufficient UNSC endorsement before year-end.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
Volume
$241,135Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent IAEA Board action referring Iran to the UN Security Council over nuclear safeguards non-compliance, combined with the expiration of the June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding without a final agreement, has hardened divisions at the Council. The 60-day negotiation window lapsed in August amid renewed tensions, including disputes over inspections, sanctions relief, and the Strait of Hormuz. Russia and China continue to block Western-backed measures on the Iranian nuclear file, while the United States and European allies advance censure resolutions. These developments have shifted diplomatic momentum away from any near-term comprehensive deal that could secure unanimous or sufficient UNSC endorsement before year-end.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$241,135Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Recent IAEA Board action referring Iran to the UN Security Council over nuclear safeguards non-compliance, combined with the expiration of the June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding without a final agreement, has hardened divisions at the Council. The 60-day negotiation window lapsed in August amid renewed tensions, including disputes over inspections, sanctions relief, and the Strait of Hormuz. Russia and China continue to block Western-backed measures on the Iranian nuclear file, while the United States and European allies advance censure resolutions. These developments have shifted diplomatic momentum away from any near-term comprehensive deal that could secure unanimous or sufficient UNSC endorsement before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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