Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations have produced mixed signals that sustain the near-even odds on a formal agreement to end uranium enrichment by year-end. Recent proposals include Iranian offers to downblend its 60 percent enriched stockpile to JCPOA-compliant levels and accept expanded IAEA monitoring, yet core gaps persist over the duration of any moratorium and Iran's asserted right to limited enrichment for civilian purposes. Diplomatic sessions in Islamabad and Geneva this spring highlighted these divides, with Washington pressing for longer-term restrictions and Tehran seeking sanctions relief in exchange for verifiable limits. Traders appear to weigh the momentum from ongoing Oman-mediated talks against the historical pattern of stalled nuclear diplomacy, leaving room for either a breakthrough on verification terms or renewed impasse before December.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$194,984 Vol.
$194,984 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$194,984 Vol.
$194,984 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations have produced mixed signals that sustain the near-even odds on a formal agreement to end uranium enrichment by year-end. Recent proposals include Iranian offers to downblend its 60 percent enriched stockpile to JCPOA-compliant levels and accept expanded IAEA monitoring, yet core gaps persist over the duration of any moratorium and Iran's asserted right to limited enrichment for civilian purposes. Diplomatic sessions in Islamabad and Geneva this spring highlighted these divides, with Washington pressing for longer-term restrictions and Tehran seeking sanctions relief in exchange for verifiable limits. Traders appear to weigh the momentum from ongoing Oman-mediated talks against the historical pattern of stalled nuclear diplomacy, leaving room for either a breakthrough on verification terms or renewed impasse before December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
Volume
$194,984Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations have produced mixed signals that sustain the near-even odds on a formal agreement to end uranium enrichment by year-end. Recent proposals include Iranian offers to downblend its 60 percent enriched stockpile to JCPOA-compliant levels and accept expanded IAEA monitoring, yet core gaps persist over the duration of any moratorium and Iran's asserted right to limited enrichment for civilian purposes. Diplomatic sessions in Islamabad and Geneva this spring highlighted these divides, with Washington pressing for longer-term restrictions and Tehran seeking sanctions relief in exchange for verifiable limits. Traders appear to weigh the momentum from ongoing Oman-mediated talks against the historical pattern of stalled nuclear diplomacy, leaving room for either a breakthrough on verification terms or renewed impasse before December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$194,984Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations have produced mixed signals that sustain the near-even odds on a formal agreement to end uranium enrichment by year-end. Recent proposals include Iranian offers to downblend its 60 percent enriched stockpile to JCPOA-compliant levels and accept expanded IAEA monitoring, yet core gaps persist over the duration of any moratorium and Iran's asserted right to limited enrichment for civilian purposes. Diplomatic sessions in Islamabad and Geneva this spring highlighted these divides, with Washington pressing for longer-term restrictions and Tehran seeking sanctions relief in exchange for verifiable limits. Traders appear to weigh the momentum from ongoing Oman-mediated talks against the historical pattern of stalled nuclear diplomacy, leaving room for either a breakthrough on verification terms or renewed impasse before December.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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