Iran has repeatedly threatened withdrawal from the NPT in response to U.S. and Israeli strikes on its nuclear facilities in 2025 and potential snapback sanctions, with Iranian parliamentarians introducing related legislation in March 2026. These moves remain at the proposal stage, however, without formal notice or implementation. Iran continues to engage in NPT review processes, submit working papers to the 2026 conference, and participate in bilateral nuclear talks with the United States aimed at verification measures and stockpile limits. Ongoing diplomacy, partial IAEA cooperation, and the high diplomatic and economic costs of exit have kept actual withdrawal off the immediate agenda, supporting trader consensus that the step is unlikely before 2027.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourL'Iran se retirera-t-il du TNP avant 2027 ?
L'Iran se retirera-t-il du TNP avant 2027 ?
Oui
10% chance
$334,386 Vol.
$334,386 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
10% chance
$334,386 Vol.
$334,386 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iran has repeatedly threatened withdrawal from the NPT in response to U.S. and Israeli strikes on its nuclear facilities in 2025 and potential snapback sanctions, with Iranian parliamentarians introducing related legislation in March 2026. These moves remain at the proposal stage, however, without formal notice or implementation. Iran continues to engage in NPT review processes, submit working papers to the 2026 conference, and participate in bilateral nuclear talks with the United States aimed at verification measures and stockpile limits. Ongoing diplomacy, partial IAEA cooperation, and the high diplomatic and economic costs of exit have kept actual withdrawal off the immediate agenda, supporting trader consensus that the step is unlikely before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
Volume
$334,386Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iran has repeatedly threatened withdrawal from the NPT in response to U.S. and Israeli strikes on its nuclear facilities in 2025 and potential snapback sanctions, with Iranian parliamentarians introducing related legislation in March 2026. These moves remain at the proposal stage, however, without formal notice or implementation. Iran continues to engage in NPT review processes, submit working papers to the 2026 conference, and participate in bilateral nuclear talks with the United States aimed at verification measures and stockpile limits. Ongoing diplomacy, partial IAEA cooperation, and the high diplomatic and economic costs of exit have kept actual withdrawal off the immediate agenda, supporting trader consensus that the step is unlikely before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$334,386Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran has repeatedly threatened withdrawal from the NPT in response to U.S. and Israeli strikes on its nuclear facilities in 2025 and potential snapback sanctions, with Iranian parliamentarians introducing related legislation in March 2026. These moves remain at the proposal stage, however, without formal notice or implementation. Iran continues to engage in NPT review processes, submit working papers to the 2026 conference, and participate in bilateral nuclear talks with the United States aimed at verification measures and stockpile limits. Ongoing diplomacy, partial IAEA cooperation, and the high diplomatic and economic costs of exit have kept actual withdrawal off the immediate agenda, supporting trader consensus that the step is unlikely before 2027.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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