US and Iranian officials continue indirect diplomacy through mediators such as Oman, centered on reopening the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues under the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum that established a 60-day negotiation window. President Trump has publicly described talks as ongoing or imminent, framing them as a final opportunity, while Iranian statements have denied direct bilateral engagement and emphasized separate discussions with Oman. Prior rounds occurred in Oman, Switzerland, Doha, and Islamabad, often involving technical teams or envoys rather than heads of state. Any new round by late August would likely depend on progress in these mediated channels amid competing priorities over maritime access and security assurances.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$72,819 Vol.
Nick Stewart
48%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
31%
Abbas Araghchi
30%
Jared Kushner
30%
Steve Witkoff
29%
Kazem Gharibabadi
28%
J.D. Vance
24%
Ishaq Dar
20%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
16%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
10%
Marco Rubio
6%
Rafael Grossi
16%
Masoud Pezeshkian
4%
Esmail Qaani
3%
Pete Hegseth
2%
Donald Trump
2%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
46%
$72,819 Vol.
Nick Stewart
48%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
31%
Abbas Araghchi
30%
Jared Kushner
30%
Steve Witkoff
29%
Kazem Gharibabadi
28%
J.D. Vance
24%
Ishaq Dar
20%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
16%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
10%
Marco Rubio
6%
Rafael Grossi
16%
Masoud Pezeshkian
4%
Esmail Qaani
3%
Pete Hegseth
2%
Donald Trump
2%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
46%
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US and Iranian officials continue indirect diplomacy through mediators such as Oman, centered on reopening the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues under the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum that established a 60-day negotiation window. President Trump has publicly described talks as ongoing or imminent, framing them as a final opportunity, while Iranian statements have denied direct bilateral engagement and emphasized separate discussions with Oman. Prior rounds occurred in Oman, Switzerland, Doha, and Islamabad, often involving technical teams or envoys rather than heads of state. Any new round by late August would likely depend on progress in these mediated channels amid competing priorities over maritime access and security assurances.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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