US-Iran diplomacy remains indirect and mediated amid a stalled 60-day negotiation window set by the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which addressed the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and Iran's nuclear program. Conflicting statements persist, with US officials including President Trump and Secretary of State Marco Rubio citing progress and messages exchanged through intermediaries, while Iranian sources emphasize talks solely with Oman on maritime access and deny formal bilateral negotiations. Recent technical discussions have yielded limited headway on Hormuz routing and related issues, with Qatar and Pakistan playing facilitation roles. The approaching mid-August deadline heightens pressure for any direct or high-level attendance before August 31, though procedural and substantive disagreements continue to constrain momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$90,924 Vol.
31 août 2026
Jared Kushner
11%
Abbas Araghchi
11%
Steve Witkoff
10%
Ishaq Dar
10%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
9%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
8%
Nick Stewart
8%
Kazem Gharibabadi
7%
Rafael Grossi
7%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
6%
Pete Hegseth
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
3%
Marco Rubio
3%
J.D. Vance
3%
Donald Trump
2%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
2%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
$90,924 Vol.
Jared Kushner
$13,340 Vol.
11%
Abbas Araghchi
$8,597 Vol.
11%
Steve Witkoff
$12,624 Vol.
10%
Ishaq Dar
$2,622 Vol.
10%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$11,420 Vol.
9%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$253 Vol.
8%
Nick Stewart
$36 Vol.
8%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,647 Vol.
7%
Rafael Grossi
$881 Vol.
7%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,730 Vol.
6%
Pete Hegseth
$2,568 Vol.
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,719 Vol.
3%
Marco Rubio
$7,551 Vol.
3%
J.D. Vance
$10,868 Vol.
3%
Donald Trump
$6,494 Vol.
2%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$3,234 Vol.
2%
Esmail Qaani
$456 Vol.
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,567 Vol.
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$317 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy remains indirect and mediated amid a stalled 60-day negotiation window set by the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which addressed the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and Iran's nuclear program. Conflicting statements persist, with US officials including President Trump and Secretary of State Marco Rubio citing progress and messages exchanged through intermediaries, while Iranian sources emphasize talks solely with Oman on maritime access and deny formal bilateral negotiations. Recent technical discussions have yielded limited headway on Hormuz routing and related issues, with Qatar and Pakistan playing facilitation roles. The approaching mid-August deadline heightens pressure for any direct or high-level attendance before August 31, though procedural and substantive disagreements continue to constrain momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Volume
$90,924Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy remains indirect and mediated amid a stalled 60-day negotiation window set by the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which addressed the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and Iran's nuclear program. Conflicting statements persist, with US officials including President Trump and Secretary of State Marco Rubio citing progress and messages exchanged through intermediaries, while Iranian sources emphasize talks solely with Oman on maritime access and deny formal bilateral negotiations. Recent technical discussions have yielded limited headway on Hormuz routing and related issues, with Qatar and Pakistan playing facilitation roles. The approaching mid-August deadline heightens pressure for any direct or high-level attendance before August 31, though procedural and substantive disagreements continue to constrain momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$90,924Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomacy remains indirect and mediated amid a stalled 60-day negotiation window set by the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which addressed the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and Iran's nuclear program. Conflicting statements persist, with US officials including President Trump and Secretary of State Marco Rubio citing progress and messages exchanged through intermediaries, while Iranian sources emphasize talks solely with Oman on maritime access and deny formal bilateral negotiations. Recent technical discussions have yielded limited headway on Hormuz routing and related issues, with Qatar and Pakistan playing facilitation roles. The approaching mid-August deadline heightens pressure for any direct or high-level attendance before August 31, though procedural and substantive disagreements continue to constrain momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Jared Kushner participera-t-il à une réunion diplomatique entre les États-Unis et l'Iran d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?
64%
Oui
Aucune rencontre diplomatique qualifiée entre les États-Unis et l'Iran n'aura-t-elle lieu d'ici le 30 septembre 2026 ?
69%
Oui
Réunion diplomatique États-Unis x Iran d'ici le 30 septembre 2026 ?
31%
Oui
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