US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled following the collapse of the June 2026 memorandum of understanding, which set a 60-day window for technical working groups on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and de-confliction in Lebanon and the Strait of Hormuz. Intermittent strikes resumed in early September amid disputes over implementation, leaving both sides in a war of attrition. The United States continues to signal readiness for military action if talks fail, while Iran conditions any resumption on fulfillment of prior commitments and an end to pressure. Mediators Qatar, Pakistan, and Oman have facilitated lower-level exchanges, but no high-level meetings are currently scheduled. Any new round by December 31 would likely require breakthroughs on nuclear inspections, maritime access, or proxy conflicts to draw senior US or Iranian officials.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$869,652 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Jared Kushner
38%
Steve Witkoff
38%
Abbas Araghchi
34%
Badr ben Hamad Al Busaidi
22%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
21%
Masoud Pezeshkian
19%
J.D. Vance
19%
Nick Stewart
18%
Kazem Gharibabadi
15%
Ishaq Dar
15%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
14%
Mohammed ben Abdulrahman Al Thani
12%
Rafael Grossi
11%
Mohammed ben Salmane
11%
Marco Rubio
10%
Donald Trump
7%
Pete Hegseth
7%
Ahmad Vahidi
6%
Esmail Qaani
6%
Mojtaba Khamenei
2%
$869,652 Vol.
Jared Kushner
$198,304 Vol.
38%
Steve Witkoff
$54,197 Vol.
38%
Abbas Araghchi
$36,462 Vol.
34%
Badr ben Hamad Al Busaidi
$52,267 Vol.
22%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$113,882 Vol.
21%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$49,338 Vol.
19%
J.D. Vance
$50,862 Vol.
19%
Nick Stewart
$12,986 Vol.
18%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$20,087 Vol.
15%
Ishaq Dar
$24,606 Vol.
15%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$20,332 Vol.
14%
Mohammed ben Abdulrahman Al Thani
$57,060 Vol.
12%
Rafael Grossi
$36,946 Vol.
11%
Mohammed ben Salmane
$6,664 Vol.
11%
Marco Rubio
$27,672 Vol.
10%
Donald Trump
$28,218 Vol.
7%
Pete Hegseth
$22,446 Vol.
7%
Ahmad Vahidi
$20,460 Vol.
6%
Esmail Qaani
$12,429 Vol.
6%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$24,435 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled following the collapse of the June 2026 memorandum of understanding, which set a 60-day window for technical working groups on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and de-confliction in Lebanon and the Strait of Hormuz. Intermittent strikes resumed in early September amid disputes over implementation, leaving both sides in a war of attrition. The United States continues to signal readiness for military action if talks fail, while Iran conditions any resumption on fulfillment of prior commitments and an end to pressure. Mediators Qatar, Pakistan, and Oman have facilitated lower-level exchanges, but no high-level meetings are currently scheduled. Any new round by December 31 would likely require breakthroughs on nuclear inspections, maritime access, or proxy conflicts to draw senior US or Iranian officials.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
Volume
$869,652Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled following the collapse of the June 2026 memorandum of understanding, which set a 60-day window for technical working groups on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and de-confliction in Lebanon and the Strait of Hormuz. Intermittent strikes resumed in early September amid disputes over implementation, leaving both sides in a war of attrition. The United States continues to signal readiness for military action if talks fail, while Iran conditions any resumption on fulfillment of prior commitments and an end to pressure. Mediators Qatar, Pakistan, and Oman have facilitated lower-level exchanges, but no high-level meetings are currently scheduled. Any new round by December 31 would likely require breakthroughs on nuclear inspections, maritime access, or proxy conflicts to draw senior US or Iranian officials.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$869,652Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled following the collapse of the June 2026 memorandum of understanding, which set a 60-day window for technical working groups on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and de-confliction in Lebanon and the Strait of Hormuz. Intermittent strikes resumed in early September amid disputes over implementation, leaving both sides in a war of attrition. The United States continues to signal readiness for military action if talks fail, while Iran conditions any resumption on fulfillment of prior commitments and an end to pressure. Mediators Qatar, Pakistan, and Oman have facilitated lower-level exchanges, but no high-level meetings are currently scheduled. Any new round by December 31 would likely require breakthroughs on nuclear inspections, maritime access, or proxy conflicts to draw senior US or Iranian officials.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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