Ongoing disputes over control of the Strait of Hormuz continue to shape US-Iran dynamics, with Tehran asserting management authority and Washington maintaining a naval blockade on Iranian ports following the collapse of earlier ceasefires and the June 2026 memorandum. Intermediary messaging and Oman-mediated talks on shipping routes have produced limited progress amid renewed attacks on vessels and competing claims of dominance by both sides. US military operations, including strikes and interdictions, have proceeded without congressional authorization for formal hostilities, consistent with patterns in prior regional engagements. Diplomatic channels remain active but face significant hurdles tied to sanctions, asset releases, and security guarantees, with no scheduled votes or announcements indicating imminent escalation to a declared state of war.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLes États-Unis déclareront-ils officiellement la guerre à l'Iran d'ici... ?
Les États-Unis déclareront-ils officiellement la guerre à l'Iran d'ici... ?
$7,763,872 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
31 décembre
3%
$7,763,872 Vol.
31 décembre
$791,238 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing disputes over control of the Strait of Hormuz continue to shape US-Iran dynamics, with Tehran asserting management authority and Washington maintaining a naval blockade on Iranian ports following the collapse of earlier ceasefires and the June 2026 memorandum. Intermediary messaging and Oman-mediated talks on shipping routes have produced limited progress amid renewed attacks on vessels and competing claims of dominance by both sides. US military operations, including strikes and interdictions, have proceeded without congressional authorization for formal hostilities, consistent with patterns in prior regional engagements. Diplomatic channels remain active but face significant hurdles tied to sanctions, asset releases, and security guarantees, with no scheduled votes or announcements indicating imminent escalation to a declared state of war.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Volume
$7,763,872Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing disputes over control of the Strait of Hormuz continue to shape US-Iran dynamics, with Tehran asserting management authority and Washington maintaining a naval blockade on Iranian ports following the collapse of earlier ceasefires and the June 2026 memorandum. Intermediary messaging and Oman-mediated talks on shipping routes have produced limited progress amid renewed attacks on vessels and competing claims of dominance by both sides. US military operations, including strikes and interdictions, have proceeded without congressional authorization for formal hostilities, consistent with patterns in prior regional engagements. Diplomatic channels remain active but face significant hurdles tied to sanctions, asset releases, and security guarantees, with no scheduled votes or announcements indicating imminent escalation to a declared state of war.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$7,763,872Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing disputes over control of the Strait of Hormuz continue to shape US-Iran dynamics, with Tehran asserting management authority and Washington maintaining a naval blockade on Iranian ports following the collapse of earlier ceasefires and the June 2026 memorandum. Intermediary messaging and Oman-mediated talks on shipping routes have produced limited progress amid renewed attacks on vessels and competing claims of dominance by both sides. US military operations, including strikes and interdictions, have proceeded without congressional authorization for formal hostilities, consistent with patterns in prior regional engagements. Diplomatic channels remain active but face significant hurdles tied to sanctions, asset releases, and security guarantees, with no scheduled votes or announcements indicating imminent escalation to a declared state of war.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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