**US opposition to any tolls or fees on the Strait of Hormuz remains the dominant factor keeping trader odds low for US collection of payments by year-end.** The waterway is treated as an international strait under longstanding US policy and UNCLOS principles favoring free transit without charges for passage alone. Recent developments include President Trump’s mid-July 2026 proposal for a 20% US “reimbursement fee” tied to security guarantees, which was quickly replaced by Gulf investment commitments, followed by renewed September rhetoric on fees amid fresh Iran tensions and a reinstated naval posture. No actual collections have occurred. Diplomatic coordination with Oman and Gulf states, plus consistent statements from US officials rejecting monetization, have reinforced market skepticism. Resolution hinges on verifiable US government receipt of funds from any entity for transit or protection by December 31, 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLes États-Unis facturent les frais d'Hormuz de... ?
Les États-Unis facturent les frais d'Hormuz de... ?
$972,755 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
31 décembre
4%
$972,755 Vol.
31 décembre
$104,451 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.**US opposition to any tolls or fees on the Strait of Hormuz remains the dominant factor keeping trader odds low for US collection of payments by year-end.** The waterway is treated as an international strait under longstanding US policy and UNCLOS principles favoring free transit without charges for passage alone.
Recent developments include President Trump’s mid-July 2026 proposal for a 20% US “reimbursement fee” tied to security guarantees, which was quickly replaced by Gulf investment commitments, followed by renewed September rhetoric on fees amid fresh Iran tensions and a reinstated naval posture. No actual collections have occurred.
Diplomatic coordination with Oman and Gulf states, plus consistent statements from US officials rejecting monetization, have reinforced market skepticism. Resolution hinges on verifiable US government receipt of funds from any entity for transit or protection by December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Volume
$972,755Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.**US opposition to any tolls or fees on the Strait of Hormuz remains the dominant factor keeping trader odds low for US collection of payments by year-end.** The waterway is treated as an international strait under longstanding US policy and UNCLOS principles favoring free transit without charges for passage alone.
Recent developments include President Trump’s mid-July 2026 proposal for a 20% US “reimbursement fee” tied to security guarantees, which was quickly replaced by Gulf investment commitments, followed by renewed September rhetoric on fees amid fresh Iran tensions and a reinstated naval posture. No actual collections have occurred.
Diplomatic coordination with Oman and Gulf states, plus consistent statements from US officials rejecting monetization, have reinforced market skepticism. Resolution hinges on verifiable US government receipt of funds from any entity for transit or protection by December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$972,755Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...**US opposition to any tolls or fees on the Strait of Hormuz remains the dominant factor keeping trader odds low for US collection of payments by year-end.** The waterway is treated as an international strait under longstanding US policy and UNCLOS principles favoring free transit without charges for passage alone. Recent developments include President Trump’s mid-July 2026 proposal for a 20% US “reimbursement fee” tied to security guarantees, which was quickly replaced by Gulf investment commitments, followed by renewed September rhetoric on fees amid fresh Iran tensions and a reinstated naval posture. No actual collections have occurred. Diplomatic coordination with Oman and Gulf states, plus consistent statements from US officials rejecting monetization, have reinforced market skepticism. Resolution hinges on verifiable US government receipt of funds from any entity for transit or protection by December 31, 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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