Pete Hegseth continues to serve as Secretary of War amid an ongoing conflict with Iran and a series of senior military leadership changes. President Trump has expressed strong public support for Hegseth’s alignment with administration priorities on force readiness, personnel standards, and reversal of prior diversity initiatives. Recent personnel actions include the late-August resignation of Army Secretary Dan Driscoll following disputes over officer promotions and firings, as well as blocked advancements affecting dozens of flag officers. Isolated congressional criticism, including a Republican-led impeachment resolution introduced in mid-September, has not gained traction. Hegseth remains active in public events and policy announcements through September 2026, with no confirmed signals of an impending departure before year-end. Traders’ 76.5% implied probability on “No” reflects this sustained White House backing and the absence of decisive removal triggers.