JD Vance serves as the sitting vice president in the second Trump administration, with market prices reflecting broad trader consensus on continuity in that role. No official announcements, Senate actions, or public disputes have signaled removal, resignation, or replacement through mid-2026. Low implied probabilities for an exit by year-end align with the absence of major catalysts such as confirmation hearings, cabinet reshuffles, or reported policy rifts. The November 2026 midterm elections and any associated White House adjustments represent the nearest scheduled political events that could influence positioning, though historical patterns show vice presidents typically remain in place absent acute controversies or health developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJD Vance sorti en tant que VP d'ici... ?
$237,615 Vol.
31 juillet
<1%
31 décembre
6%
$237,615 Vol.
31 juillet
<1%
31 décembre
6%
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jun 26, 2026, 11:51 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...JD Vance serves as the sitting vice president in the second Trump administration, with market prices reflecting broad trader consensus on continuity in that role. No official announcements, Senate actions, or public disputes have signaled removal, resignation, or replacement through mid-2026. Low implied probabilities for an exit by year-end align with the absence of major catalysts such as confirmation hearings, cabinet reshuffles, or reported policy rifts. The November 2026 midterm elections and any associated White House adjustments represent the nearest scheduled political events that could influence positioning, though historical patterns show vice presidents typically remain in place absent acute controversies or health developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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