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icon for Qui signera l'accord États-Unis x Iran ?
Politique·Trump

Qui signera l'accord États-Unis x Iran ?

icon for Qui signera l'accord États-Unis x Iran ?
Politique·Trump

Qui signera l'accord États-Unis x Iran ?

NOUVEAU
1 août 2026
Polymarket

$77 Vol.

Polymarket

Marco Rubio

$0 Vol.

46%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$17 Vol.

45%

Mohamed ben Zayed Al Nahyan

$0 Vol.

45%

Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah

$0 Vol.

45%

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa

$0 Vol.

45%

Roi Abdallah II

$0 Vol.

45%

Mohammed ben Salmane

$0 Vol.

44%

Shehbaz Sharif

$0 Vol.

43%

Masoud Pezeshkian

$0 Vol.

43%

Abbas Araghchi

$0 Vol.

43%

Steve Witkoff

$0 Vol.

43%

Cheikh Tamim ben Hamad Al Thani

$0 Vol.

43%

Donald Trump

$0 Vol.

43%

Recep Tayyip Erdogan

$0 Vol.

42%

Abdel Fattah el-Sisi

$0 Vol.

37%

Ali Larijani

$15 Vol.

34%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$0 Vol.

28%

Pete Hegseth

$12 Vol.

19%

JD Vance

$33 Vol.

57%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations center on extending the April 2026 ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, limiting Iran's nuclear program and enriched uranium stockpile, and easing sanctions, with President Trump and Iranian officials exchanging demands through mediators. Recent US strikes on Iranian targets in early June 2026, followed by Iranian missile and drone responses, have heightened tensions and prompted renewed warnings of escalation if no agreement emerges. Both sides cite prior breakdowns, including 2025 talks and the 12-Day War, while Iran seeks simultaneous concessions and asset releases, and the US emphasizes verifiable nuclear restraints. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether current brinkmanship yields a signed deal or renewed conflict before key deadlines.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.

The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.

The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.

Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$77
Date de fin
1 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 11, 2026, 8:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations center on extending the April 2026 ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, limiting Iran's nuclear program and enriched uranium stockpile, and easing sanctions, with President Trump and Iranian officials exchanging demands through mediators. Recent US strikes on Iranian targets in early June 2026, followed by Iranian missile and drone responses, have heightened tensions and prompted renewed warnings of escalation if no agreement emerges. Both sides cite prior breakdowns, including 2025 talks and the 12-Day War, while Iran seeks simultaneous concessions and asset releases, and the US emphasizes verifiable nuclear restraints. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether current brinkmanship yields a signed deal or renewed conflict before key deadlines.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.

The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.

The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.

Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$77
Date de fin
1 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 11, 2026, 8:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Qui signera l'accord États-Unis x Iran ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 19 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « JD Vance » à 57%, suivi de « Marco Rubio » à 46%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 57¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 57% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Qui signera l'accord États-Unis x Iran ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jun 12, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Qui signera l'accord États-Unis x Iran ? », parcourez les 19 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Qui signera l'accord États-Unis x Iran ? » est « JD Vance » à 57%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 57% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Marco Rubio » à 46%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Qui signera l'accord États-Unis x Iran ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.