President Trump's state visit to Beijing, confirmed by the White House and Chinese foreign ministry for May 13-15, 2026, drives trader consensus at 99.5% for departure on May 15, aligning with the official itinerary featuring afternoon exit from Beijing Capital International Airport after summits with Xi Jinping on trade, Iran sanctions, Taiwan, and rare earths. Advance U.S. logistics via C-17 flights and recent arrival ceremonies underscore logistical readiness, with no reported delays as of May 14. This skin-in-the-game pricing reflects high confidence in schedule adherence, though late-breaking diplomatic breakthroughs, severe weather impacting Air Force One, health events, or escalation in regional tensions could prompt extension beyond May 15.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWhen will Trump leave China?
When will Trump leave China?
May 15 99.4%
May 16 <1%
May 18 <1%
Après le 18 mai <1%
$101,124 Vol.
$101,124 Vol.
20 mai 2026
May 14
<1%
May 15
99%
May 16
1%
May 17
<1%
May 18
<1%
Après le 18 mai
<1%
May 15 99.4%
May 16 <1%
May 18 <1%
Après le 18 mai <1%
$101,124 Vol.
$101,124 Vol.
20 mai 2026
May 14
$31,542 Vol.
<1%
May 15
$20,409 Vol.
99%
May 16
$17,441 Vol.
1%
May 17
$6,837 Vol.
<1%
May 18
$1,659 Vol.
<1%
Après le 18 mai
$5,246 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's state visit to Beijing, confirmed by the White House and Chinese foreign ministry for May 13-15, 2026, drives trader consensus at 99.5% for departure on May 15, aligning with the official itinerary featuring afternoon exit from Beijing Capital International Airport after summits with Xi Jinping on trade, Iran sanctions, Taiwan, and rare earths. Advance U.S. logistics via C-17 flights and recent arrival ceremonies underscore logistical readiness, with no reported delays as of May 14. This skin-in-the-game pricing reflects high confidence in schedule adherence, though late-breaking diplomatic breakthroughs, severe weather impacting Air Force One, health events, or escalation in regional tensions could prompt extension beyond May 15.
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : May 11, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Volume
$101,124Date de fin
20 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 11, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's state visit to Beijing, confirmed by the White House and Chinese foreign ministry for May 13-15, 2026, drives trader consensus at 99.5% for departure on May 15, aligning with the official itinerary featuring afternoon exit from Beijing Capital International Airport after summits with Xi Jinping on trade, Iran sanctions, Taiwan, and rare earths. Advance U.S. logistics via C-17 flights and recent arrival ceremonies underscore logistical readiness, with no reported delays as of May 14. This skin-in-the-game pricing reflects high confidence in schedule adherence, though late-breaking diplomatic breakthroughs, severe weather impacting Air Force One, health events, or escalation in regional tensions could prompt extension beyond May 15.
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$101,124Date de fin
20 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 11, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Trump's state visit to Beijing, confirmed by the White House and Chinese foreign ministry for May 13-15, 2026, drives trader consensus at 99.5% for departure on May 15, aligning with the official itinerary featuring afternoon exit from Beijing Capital International Airport after summits with Xi Jinping on trade, Iran sanctions, Taiwan, and rare earths. Advance U.S. logistics via C-17 flights and recent arrival ceremonies underscore logistical readiness, with no reported delays as of May 14. This skin-in-the-game pricing reflects high confidence in schedule adherence, though late-breaking diplomatic breakthroughs, severe weather impacting Air Force One, health events, or escalation in regional tensions could prompt extension beyond May 15.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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