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icon for Le prochain Premier ministre britannique en 2026 ?
Politique·Angleterre

Le prochain Premier ministre britannique en 2026 ?

icon for Le prochain Premier ministre britannique en 2026 ?
Politique·Angleterre

Le prochain Premier ministre britannique en 2026 ?

Aucun prochain PM en 2026 24%

Andy Burnham 23.3%

Ed Miliband 21.4%

Wes Streeting 14%

Polymarket

$6,126,007 Vol.

Aucun prochain PM en 2026 24%

Andy Burnham 23.3%

Ed Miliband 21.4%

Wes Streeting 14%

Polymarket

$6,126,007 Vol.

icon for Aucun prochain PM en 2026

Aucun prochain PM en 2026

$322,678 Vol.

24%

icon for Andy Burnham

Andy Burnham

$405,559 Vol.

23%

icon for Ed Miliband

Ed Miliband

$273,918 Vol.

21%

icon for Wes Streeting

Wes Streeting

$171,994 Vol.

14%

icon for Angela Rayner

Angela Rayner

$368,762 Vol.

11%

icon for Al Carns

Al Carns

$165,952 Vol.

5%

icon for Yvette Cooper

Yvette Cooper

$253,616 Vol.

2%

icon for Shabana Mahmood

Shabana Mahmood

$260,711 Vol.

2%

icon for Nigel Farage

Nigel Farage

$771,005 Vol.

1%

icon for Lucy Powell

Lucy Powell

$252,234 Vol.

1%

icon for David Lammy

David Lammy

$240,825 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rachel Reeves

Rachel Reeves

$417,549 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kemi Badenoch

Kemi Badenoch

$148,521 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bridget Phillipson

Bridget Phillipson

$116,313 Vol.

<1%

icon for Darren Jones

Darren Jones

$171,343 Vol.

<1%

icon for Boris Johnson

Boris Johnson

$223,836 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ed Davey

Ed Davey

$336,298 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rupert Lowe

Rupert Lowe

$620,541 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert Jenrick

Robert Jenrick

$344,015 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Cleverly

James Cleverly

$258,305 Vol.

<1%

icon for Personne A

Personne A

$2,032 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Labour's crushing defeats in early May 2026 local elections, where Reform UK surged ahead, have ignited a full-scale leadership crisis for Prime Minister Keir Starmer, with ministerial resignations and MPs openly calling for his exit ahead of the King's Speech. Trader consensus reflects this turmoil, pricing a 76.5% chance of a new premier in 2026, but splits tightly among Andy Burnham—bolstered by his popularity as Greater Manchester mayor and soft-left backing despite needing a parliamentary by-election—Ed Miliband, drawing left-wing MP support, and Wes Streeting, the ambitious health secretary. No clear frontrunner emerges amid procedural uncertainties in triggering a Labour leadership contest requiring 20% MP nominations, keeping odds bunched; further cabinet exits, poor King's Speech reception, or Burnham's Commons entry could decisively separate the pack.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,126,007
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Labour's crushing defeats in early May 2026 local elections, where Reform UK surged ahead, have ignited a full-scale leadership crisis for Prime Minister Keir Starmer, with ministerial resignations and MPs openly calling for his exit ahead of the King's Speech. Trader consensus reflects this turmoil, pricing a 76.5% chance of a new premier in 2026, but splits tightly among Andy Burnham—bolstered by his popularity as Greater Manchester mayor and soft-left backing despite needing a parliamentary by-election—Ed Miliband, drawing left-wing MP support, and Wes Streeting, the ambitious health secretary. No clear frontrunner emerges amid procedural uncertainties in triggering a Labour leadership contest requiring 20% MP nominations, keeping odds bunched; further cabinet exits, poor King's Speech reception, or Burnham's Commons entry could decisively separate the pack.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,126,007
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Le prochain Premier ministre britannique en 2026 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 21 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Aucun prochain PM en 2026 » à 24%, suivi de « Andy Burnham » à 23%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 24¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 24% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Le prochain Premier ministre britannique en 2026 ? » a généré $6.1 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Feb 5, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Le prochain Premier ministre britannique en 2026 ? », parcourez les 21 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Le prochain Premier ministre britannique en 2026 ? » est « Aucun prochain PM en 2026 » à 24%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 24% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Andy Burnham » à 23%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Le prochain Premier ministre britannique en 2026 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.