Israeli military operations in Gaza remain limited to targeted airstrikes and precision raids against Hamas commanders and infrastructure, despite a ceasefire in place since October 2025. Southern Command has reinforced positions along the Yellow Line while conducting near-daily strikes that eliminated multiple brigade-level figures in mid-September 2026, citing Hamas efforts to rebuild governance and military capabilities in areas outside Israeli control. Defense Minister statements emphasize readiness for larger-scale action if disarmament talks fail, yet no major ground offensive has been ordered. Israeli elections and U.S. diplomatic pressure on implementation of Phase Two governance arrangements introduce uncertainty, as does Hamas’s continued refusal to fully relinquish weapons. Traders weigh these signals of incremental pressure against the political and logistical barriers to a full re-invasion within any near-term resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$758,654 Vol.
30 oct. 2025
31 décembre
9%
$758,654 Vol.
31 décembre
$109,023 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli military operations in Gaza remain limited to targeted airstrikes and precision raids against Hamas commanders and infrastructure, despite a ceasefire in place since October 2025. Southern Command has reinforced positions along the Yellow Line while conducting near-daily strikes that eliminated multiple brigade-level figures in mid-September 2026, citing Hamas efforts to rebuild governance and military capabilities in areas outside Israeli control. Defense Minister statements emphasize readiness for larger-scale action if disarmament talks fail, yet no major ground offensive has been ordered. Israeli elections and U.S. diplomatic pressure on implementation of Phase Two governance arrangements introduce uncertainty, as does Hamas’s continued refusal to fully relinquish weapons. Traders weigh these signals of incremental pressure against the political and logistical barriers to a full re-invasion within any near-term resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
Volume
$758,654Date de fin
31 déc. 2025Marché ouvert
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli military operations in Gaza remain limited to targeted airstrikes and precision raids against Hamas commanders and infrastructure, despite a ceasefire in place since October 2025. Southern Command has reinforced positions along the Yellow Line while conducting near-daily strikes that eliminated multiple brigade-level figures in mid-September 2026, citing Hamas efforts to rebuild governance and military capabilities in areas outside Israeli control. Defense Minister statements emphasize readiness for larger-scale action if disarmament talks fail, yet no major ground offensive has been ordered. Israeli elections and U.S. diplomatic pressure on implementation of Phase Two governance arrangements introduce uncertainty, as does Hamas’s continued refusal to fully relinquish weapons. Traders weigh these signals of incremental pressure against the political and logistical barriers to a full re-invasion within any near-term resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$758,654Date de fin
31 déc. 2025Marché ouvert
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Israeli military operations in Gaza remain limited to targeted airstrikes and precision raids against Hamas commanders and infrastructure, despite a ceasefire in place since October 2025. Southern Command has reinforced positions along the Yellow Line while conducting near-daily strikes that eliminated multiple brigade-level figures in mid-September 2026, citing Hamas efforts to rebuild governance and military capabilities in areas outside Israeli control. Defense Minister statements emphasize readiness for larger-scale action if disarmament talks fail, yet no major ground offensive has been ordered. Israeli elections and U.S. diplomatic pressure on implementation of Phase Two governance arrangements introduce uncertainty, as does Hamas’s continued refusal to fully relinquish weapons. Traders weigh these signals of incremental pressure against the political and logistical barriers to a full re-invasion within any near-term resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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