Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu rejected a U.S.-backed 15-point Gaza peace plan on August 9, 2026, stating that Israeli forces will not withdraw until Hamas is fully disarmed, creating friction in ongoing diplomatic efforts. This stance follows Hamas's acceptance of a roadmap for disarmament and reconstruction, though sequencing and oversight gaps persist. Israel has conducted only limited airstrikes in recent weeks, including a strike killing a Hamas operative in northern Gaza on August 13, while scaling back broader operations to support talks. U.S. pressure for de-escalation and potential upcoming diplomatic engagements, such as reported visits by American officials, remain key variables that could influence whether a major ground offensive—defined as large-scale troop movements into uncontrolled areas—occurs within any near-term resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$750,257 Vol.
31 oct. 2025
31 décembre
15%
$750,257 Vol.
31 décembre
$100,626 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu rejected a U.S.-backed 15-point Gaza peace plan on August 9, 2026, stating that Israeli forces will not withdraw until Hamas is fully disarmed, creating friction in ongoing diplomatic efforts. This stance follows Hamas's acceptance of a roadmap for disarmament and reconstruction, though sequencing and oversight gaps persist. Israel has conducted only limited airstrikes in recent weeks, including a strike killing a Hamas operative in northern Gaza on August 13, while scaling back broader operations to support talks. U.S. pressure for de-escalation and potential upcoming diplomatic engagements, such as reported visits by American officials, remain key variables that could influence whether a major ground offensive—defined as large-scale troop movements into uncontrolled areas—occurs within any near-term resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
Volume
$750,257Date de fin
31 déc. 2025Marché ouvert
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu rejected a U.S.-backed 15-point Gaza peace plan on August 9, 2026, stating that Israeli forces will not withdraw until Hamas is fully disarmed, creating friction in ongoing diplomatic efforts. This stance follows Hamas's acceptance of a roadmap for disarmament and reconstruction, though sequencing and oversight gaps persist. Israel has conducted only limited airstrikes in recent weeks, including a strike killing a Hamas operative in northern Gaza on August 13, while scaling back broader operations to support talks. U.S. pressure for de-escalation and potential upcoming diplomatic engagements, such as reported visits by American officials, remain key variables that could influence whether a major ground offensive—defined as large-scale troop movements into uncontrolled areas—occurs within any near-term resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$750,257Date de fin
31 déc. 2025Marché ouvert
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu rejected a U.S.-backed 15-point Gaza peace plan on August 9, 2026, stating that Israeli forces will not withdraw until Hamas is fully disarmed, creating friction in ongoing diplomatic efforts. This stance follows Hamas's acceptance of a roadmap for disarmament and reconstruction, though sequencing and oversight gaps persist. Israel has conducted only limited airstrikes in recent weeks, including a strike killing a Hamas operative in northern Gaza on August 13, while scaling back broader operations to support talks. U.S. pressure for de-escalation and potential upcoming diplomatic engagements, such as reported visits by American officials, remain key variables that could influence whether a major ground offensive—defined as large-scale troop movements into uncontrolled areas—occurs within any near-term resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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