Recent tensions, particularly a Canadian petition with over 170,000 signatures urging the expulsion of U.S. Ambassador Pete Hoekstra over trade disputes and rhetoric about annexation, highlight strains in bilateral relations but remain non-binding and unlikely to trigger formal action under the Vienna Convention. No country has declared a U.S. envoy persona non grata in 2026, consistent with historical patterns where such steps occur mainly amid major crises rather than routine friction. U.S. recalls of its own diplomats, vacancies in numerous posts, and reciprocal disputes (such as with Brazil or Iran) have not prompted counterpart expulsions. Trader consensus on the low likelihood by year-end reflects these procedural and diplomatic thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
10% chance
$33,018 Vol.
$33,018 Vol.
30 déc. 2026
Oui
10% chance
$33,018 Vol.
$33,018 Vol.
30 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent tensions, particularly a Canadian petition with over 170,000 signatures urging the expulsion of U.S. Ambassador Pete Hoekstra over trade disputes and rhetoric about annexation, highlight strains in bilateral relations but remain non-binding and unlikely to trigger formal action under the Vienna Convention. No country has declared a U.S. envoy persona non grata in 2026, consistent with historical patterns where such steps occur mainly amid major crises rather than routine friction. U.S. recalls of its own diplomats, vacancies in numerous posts, and reciprocal disputes (such as with Brazil or Iran) have not prompted counterpart expulsions. Trader consensus on the low likelihood by year-end reflects these procedural and diplomatic thresholds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Volume
$33,018Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent tensions, particularly a Canadian petition with over 170,000 signatures urging the expulsion of U.S. Ambassador Pete Hoekstra over trade disputes and rhetoric about annexation, highlight strains in bilateral relations but remain non-binding and unlikely to trigger formal action under the Vienna Convention. No country has declared a U.S. envoy persona non grata in 2026, consistent with historical patterns where such steps occur mainly amid major crises rather than routine friction. U.S. recalls of its own diplomats, vacancies in numerous posts, and reciprocal disputes (such as with Brazil or Iran) have not prompted counterpart expulsions. Trader consensus on the low likelihood by year-end reflects these procedural and diplomatic thresholds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$33,018Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent tensions, particularly a Canadian petition with over 170,000 signatures urging the expulsion of U.S. Ambassador Pete Hoekstra over trade disputes and rhetoric about annexation, highlight strains in bilateral relations but remain non-binding and unlikely to trigger formal action under the Vienna Convention. No country has declared a U.S. envoy persona non grata in 2026, consistent with historical patterns where such steps occur mainly amid major crises rather than routine friction. U.S. recalls of its own diplomats, vacancies in numerous posts, and reciprocal disputes (such as with Brazil or Iran) have not prompted counterpart expulsions. Trader consensus on the low likelihood by year-end reflects these procedural and diplomatic thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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