Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam secured a parliamentary confidence vote on September 17, 2026, with 68 votes in favor, 12 against, and two abstentions. Hezbollah’s bloc withdrew before the vote while the Amal Movement supported the government, reflecting divided Shiite positioning amid ongoing debates over state sovereignty, weapons control, and post-2026 war reconstruction. Salam’s administration, formed in February 2025, has advanced economic reforms, refugee return coordination with Syria, and diplomatic efforts including a tripartite negotiation framework for Israeli withdrawal and Lebanese Army deployment in the south. International engagement, including recent talks with Egypt, France, and Jordan on security and UNIFIL transition, has bolstered institutional backing. These developments have sustained broad parliamentary and external support, shaping trader expectations that Salam will remain in office through the end of 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour16% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
16% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam secured a parliamentary confidence vote on September 17, 2026, with 68 votes in favor, 12 against, and two abstentions. Hezbollah’s bloc withdrew before the vote while the Amal Movement supported the government, reflecting divided Shiite positioning amid ongoing debates over state sovereignty, weapons control, and post-2026 war reconstruction. Salam’s administration, formed in February 2025, has advanced economic reforms, refugee return coordination with Syria, and diplomatic efforts including a tripartite negotiation framework for Israeli withdrawal and Lebanese Army deployment in the south. International engagement, including recent talks with Egypt, France, and Jordan on security and UNIFIL transition, has bolstered institutional backing. These developments have sustained broad parliamentary and external support, shaping trader expectations that Salam will remain in office through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
Volume
$1,229Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam secured a parliamentary confidence vote on September 17, 2026, with 68 votes in favor, 12 against, and two abstentions. Hezbollah’s bloc withdrew before the vote while the Amal Movement supported the government, reflecting divided Shiite positioning amid ongoing debates over state sovereignty, weapons control, and post-2026 war reconstruction. Salam’s administration, formed in February 2025, has advanced economic reforms, refugee return coordination with Syria, and diplomatic efforts including a tripartite negotiation framework for Israeli withdrawal and Lebanese Army deployment in the south. International engagement, including recent talks with Egypt, France, and Jordan on security and UNIFIL transition, has bolstered institutional backing. These developments have sustained broad parliamentary and external support, shaping trader expectations that Salam will remain in office through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,229Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam secured a parliamentary confidence vote on September 17, 2026, with 68 votes in favor, 12 against, and two abstentions. Hezbollah’s bloc withdrew before the vote while the Amal Movement supported the government, reflecting divided Shiite positioning amid ongoing debates over state sovereignty, weapons control, and post-2026 war reconstruction. Salam’s administration, formed in February 2025, has advanced economic reforms, refugee return coordination with Syria, and diplomatic efforts including a tripartite negotiation framework for Israeli withdrawal and Lebanese Army deployment in the south. International engagement, including recent talks with Egypt, France, and Jordan on security and UNIFIL transition, has bolstered institutional backing. These developments have sustained broad parliamentary and external support, shaping trader expectations that Salam will remain in office through the end of 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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