Recent polls project Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud-led bloc at 51–55 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27, 2026 election, with the main opposition Zionist parties close behind and Arab lists holding potential balance-of-power leverage. Netanyahu has confirmed his candidacy, submitted Likud’s candidate list in early September, and continued public campaigning focused on territorial issues and right-wing consolidation, including efforts to merge smaller parties to clear the electoral threshold. The Knesset completed its full term before dissolving in July, marking the first scheduled vote in nearly four decades and positioning the contest as a referendum on the incumbent government’s handling of security and domestic policy. No verified statements or actions indicate an imminent withdrawal, though ongoing corruption proceedings and bloc fragmentation remain structural factors that could influence coalition viability or post-election maneuvering. Surplus-vote agreements are due by October 16 and early voting begins October 20.