Recent Met Office forecasts project an 18°C minimum for London on August 12 under high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with the warm spell pushing daytime highs to 30°C and sustaining elevated nighttime readings above the seasonal 13–14°C average. Ensemble models show tight clustering around 17–18°C, with minor divergences hinging on exact cloud cover or wind shifts that could enhance or suppress cooling. Traders monitor updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF ahead of final official verification, as small atmospheric adjustments near the resolution window can swing outcomes between the closely matched leading probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 12 août ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 12 août ?
18°C 38%
17°C 37%
16°C 17%
19°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
5%
14°C
5%
15°C
8%
16°C
17%
17°C
37%
18°C
35%
19°C
9%
20°C
6%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 38%
17°C 37%
16°C 17%
19°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
12°C or below
$12 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$12 Vol.
5%
14°C
$0 Vol.
5%
15°C
$0 Vol.
8%
16°C
$12 Vol.
17%
17°C
$87 Vol.
37%
18°C
$8 Vol.
35%
19°C
$0 Vol.
9%
20°C
$12 Vol.
6%
21°C
$13 Vol.
2%
22°C or higher
$12 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts project an 18°C minimum for London on August 12 under high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with the warm spell pushing daytime highs to 30°C and sustaining elevated nighttime readings above the seasonal 13–14°C average. Ensemble models show tight clustering around 17–18°C, with minor divergences hinging on exact cloud cover or wind shifts that could enhance or suppress cooling. Traders monitor updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF ahead of final official verification, as small atmospheric adjustments near the resolution window can swing outcomes between the closely matched leading probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$168Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts project an 18°C minimum for London on August 12 under high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with the warm spell pushing daytime highs to 30°C and sustaining elevated nighttime readings above the seasonal 13–14°C average. Ensemble models show tight clustering around 17–18°C, with minor divergences hinging on exact cloud cover or wind shifts that could enhance or suppress cooling. Traders monitor updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF ahead of final official verification, as small atmospheric adjustments near the resolution window can swing outcomes between the closely matched leading probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$168Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts project an 18°C minimum for London on August 12 under high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with the warm spell pushing daytime highs to 30°C and sustaining elevated nighttime readings above the seasonal 13–14°C average. Ensemble models show tight clustering around 17–18°C, with minor divergences hinging on exact cloud cover or wind shifts that could enhance or suppress cooling. Traders monitor updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF ahead of final official verification, as small atmospheric adjustments near the resolution window can swing outcomes between the closely matched leading probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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