**Trader sentiment for Busan's August 10 highest temperature centers on 29–31°C outcomes (combined ~76% implied probability), driven by short-range model consensus showing daytime maxima near 28–30°C (83–86°F).** Coastal Busan experiences moderation from sea breezes and the influence of the North Pacific High, which sustains warm, humid air but also promotes afternoon instability. Recent forecasts, including timeanddate and KMA-aligned guidance, indicate early thunderstorms or overcast skies on August 10 that could limit peak heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, favoring the leading 30°C bin. Earlier August heatwaves established elevated baselines, yet evolving model runs highlight genuine uncertainty in exact timing of convection and cloud cover, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive. Historical August averages (29–31°C highs) provide context, but resolution hinges on official KMA observations of the daily maximum. Upcoming forecast updates through August 9 will likely refine these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Busan le 10 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Busan le 10 août ?
30°C 34%
31°C 24%
29°C 21%
28°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 août 2026
24°C ou moins
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
7%
28°C
9%
29°C
21%
30°C
34%
31°C
24%
32°C
9%
33°C
2%
34°C ou plus
1%
30°C 34%
31°C 24%
29°C 21%
28°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 août 2026
24°C ou moins
$382 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$142 Vol.
7%
28°C
$131 Vol.
9%
29°C
$54 Vol.
21%
30°C
$58 Vol.
34%
31°C
$65 Vol.
24%
32°C
$73 Vol.
9%
33°C
$38 Vol.
2%
34°C ou plus
$38 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Busan's August 10 highest temperature centers on 29–31°C outcomes (combined ~76% implied probability), driven by short-range model consensus showing daytime maxima near 28–30°C (83–86°F).**
Coastal Busan experiences moderation from sea breezes and the influence of the North Pacific High, which sustains warm, humid air but also promotes afternoon instability. Recent forecasts, including timeanddate and KMA-aligned guidance, indicate early thunderstorms or overcast skies on August 10 that could limit peak heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, favoring the leading 30°C bin.
Earlier August heatwaves established elevated baselines, yet evolving model runs highlight genuine uncertainty in exact timing of convection and cloud cover, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive. Historical August averages (29–31°C highs) provide context, but resolution hinges on official KMA observations of the daily maximum. Upcoming forecast updates through August 9 will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,745Date de fin
10 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Busan's August 10 highest temperature centers on 29–31°C outcomes (combined ~76% implied probability), driven by short-range model consensus showing daytime maxima near 28–30°C (83–86°F).**
Coastal Busan experiences moderation from sea breezes and the influence of the North Pacific High, which sustains warm, humid air but also promotes afternoon instability. Recent forecasts, including timeanddate and KMA-aligned guidance, indicate early thunderstorms or overcast skies on August 10 that could limit peak heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, favoring the leading 30°C bin.
Earlier August heatwaves established elevated baselines, yet evolving model runs highlight genuine uncertainty in exact timing of convection and cloud cover, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive. Historical August averages (29–31°C highs) provide context, but resolution hinges on official KMA observations of the daily maximum. Upcoming forecast updates through August 9 will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,745Date de fin
10 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Busan's August 10 highest temperature centers on 29–31°C outcomes (combined ~76% implied probability), driven by short-range model consensus showing daytime maxima near 28–30°C (83–86°F).** Coastal Busan experiences moderation from sea breezes and the influence of the North Pacific High, which sustains warm, humid air but also promotes afternoon instability. Recent forecasts, including timeanddate and KMA-aligned guidance, indicate early thunderstorms or overcast skies on August 10 that could limit peak heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, favoring the leading 30°C bin. Earlier August heatwaves established elevated baselines, yet evolving model runs highlight genuine uncertainty in exact timing of convection and cloud cover, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive. Historical August averages (29–31°C highs) provide context, but resolution hinges on official KMA observations of the daily maximum. Upcoming forecast updates through August 9 will likely refine these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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