Latest ensemble forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models point to a peak temperature of 30–31°C in Qingdao on August 12, reflecting late-summer maritime moderation by the Yellow Sea through persistent sea breezes and elevated humidity that limit daytime heating. Closely matched market odds around these outcomes stem from minor uncertainties in cloud cover, wind patterns, and localized urban effects that can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide context, while recent early-month heat warnings across Shandong underscore how typical conditions suppress extremes here. Traders will monitor final 24-hour model runs and official station observations for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 12 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 12 août ?
30°C 35%
31°C 27%
29°C 16%
32°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
25°C ou moins
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
16%
30°C
35%
31°C
27%
32°C
12%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C ou plus
<1%
30°C 35%
31°C 27%
29°C 16%
32°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
25°C ou moins
$412 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$48 Vol.
1%
27°C
$15 Vol.
2%
28°C
$393 Vol.
5%
29°C
$257 Vol.
16%
30°C
$1,615 Vol.
35%
31°C
$461 Vol.
27%
32°C
$268 Vol.
12%
33°C
$174 Vol.
4%
34°C
$173 Vol.
1%
35°C ou plus
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models point to a peak temperature of 30–31°C in Qingdao on August 12, reflecting late-summer maritime moderation by the Yellow Sea through persistent sea breezes and elevated humidity that limit daytime heating. Closely matched market odds around these outcomes stem from minor uncertainties in cloud cover, wind patterns, and localized urban effects that can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide context, while recent early-month heat warnings across Shandong underscore how typical conditions suppress extremes here. Traders will monitor final 24-hour model runs and official station observations for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$3,912Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models point to a peak temperature of 30–31°C in Qingdao on August 12, reflecting late-summer maritime moderation by the Yellow Sea through persistent sea breezes and elevated humidity that limit daytime heating. Closely matched market odds around these outcomes stem from minor uncertainties in cloud cover, wind patterns, and localized urban effects that can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide context, while recent early-month heat warnings across Shandong underscore how typical conditions suppress extremes here. Traders will monitor final 24-hour model runs and official station observations for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,912Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models point to a peak temperature of 30–31°C in Qingdao on August 12, reflecting late-summer maritime moderation by the Yellow Sea through persistent sea breezes and elevated humidity that limit daytime heating. Closely matched market odds around these outcomes stem from minor uncertainties in cloud cover, wind patterns, and localized urban effects that can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide context, while recent early-month heat warnings across Shandong underscore how typical conditions suppress extremes here. Traders will monitor final 24-hour model runs and official station observations for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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