Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and models from sources such as timeanddate.com indicate Shanghai highs near 29–32°C on August 11, 2026, driven by typical late-summer humidity, cloud cover, and scattered thundershowers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with historical August averages of 30–32°C while introducing short-term variability from regional weather patterns. The market-implied probabilities, led by 30°C at 42.5%, reflect trader assessment of this range amid ongoing model consensus on modest cooling from precipitation rather than clear skies that could push temperatures higher. Updated guidance ahead of the date could refine these odds if steering flows or rainfall intensity shift.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 11 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 11 août ?
30°C 43%
29°C 30%
31°C 17%
28°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 août 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
30%
30°C
43%
31°C
17%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 43%
29°C 30%
31°C 17%
28°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 août 2026
23°C or below
$371 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$371 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$164 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$295 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$547 Vol.
2%
28°C
$824 Vol.
6%
29°C
$494 Vol.
30%
30°C
$382 Vol.
43%
31°C
$208 Vol.
17%
32°C
$304 Vol.
5%
33°C or higher
$273 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and models from sources such as timeanddate.com indicate Shanghai highs near 29–32°C on August 11, 2026, driven by typical late-summer humidity, cloud cover, and scattered thundershowers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with historical August averages of 30–32°C while introducing short-term variability from regional weather patterns. The market-implied probabilities, led by 30°C at 42.5%, reflect trader assessment of this range amid ongoing model consensus on modest cooling from precipitation rather than clear skies that could push temperatures higher. Updated guidance ahead of the date could refine these odds if steering flows or rainfall intensity shift.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$4,233Date de fin
11 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and models from sources such as timeanddate.com indicate Shanghai highs near 29–32°C on August 11, 2026, driven by typical late-summer humidity, cloud cover, and scattered thundershowers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with historical August averages of 30–32°C while introducing short-term variability from regional weather patterns. The market-implied probabilities, led by 30°C at 42.5%, reflect trader assessment of this range amid ongoing model consensus on modest cooling from precipitation rather than clear skies that could push temperatures higher. Updated guidance ahead of the date could refine these odds if steering flows or rainfall intensity shift.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,233Date de fin
11 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and models from sources such as timeanddate.com indicate Shanghai highs near 29–32°C on August 11, 2026, driven by typical late-summer humidity, cloud cover, and scattered thundershowers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with historical August averages of 30–32°C while introducing short-term variability from regional weather patterns. The market-implied probabilities, led by 30°C at 42.5%, reflect trader assessment of this range amid ongoing model consensus on modest cooling from precipitation rather than clear skies that could push temperatures higher. Updated guidance ahead of the date could refine these odds if steering flows or rainfall intensity shift.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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