Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts point to a minimum temperature near 24°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 11, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23–25°C. Clear skies and light winds overnight are expected to allow modest radiational cooling after daytime highs near 31–34°C, while elevated humidity and urban heat-island effects limit further drops. Ensemble model guidance shows only modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures, keeping outcomes tightly bunched and explaining why no single bin exceeds 37 percent. Updated short-range runs from KMA and global models over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise overnight minimum ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Séoul (Incheon) le 11 août ?
Température la plus basse à Séoul (Incheon) le 11 août ?
24°C 34%
25°C 32%
23°C 20%
26°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 août 2026
18°C ou moins
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
30%
24°C
34%
25°C
32%
26°C
13%
27°C
6%
28°C ou plus
1%
24°C 34%
25°C 32%
23°C 20%
26°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 août 2026
18°C ou moins
$12 Vol.
1%
19°C
$5 Vol.
1%
20°C
$5 Vol.
1%
21°C
$22 Vol.
2%
22°C
$24 Vol.
7%
23°C
$25 Vol.
30%
24°C
$0 Vol.
34%
25°C
$0 Vol.
32%
26°C
$0 Vol.
13%
27°C
$12 Vol.
6%
28°C ou plus
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts point to a minimum temperature near 24°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 11, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23–25°C. Clear skies and light winds overnight are expected to allow modest radiational cooling after daytime highs near 31–34°C, while elevated humidity and urban heat-island effects limit further drops. Ensemble model guidance shows only modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures, keeping outcomes tightly bunched and explaining why no single bin exceeds 37 percent. Updated short-range runs from KMA and global models over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise overnight minimum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$117Date de fin
11 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts point to a minimum temperature near 24°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 11, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23–25°C. Clear skies and light winds overnight are expected to allow modest radiational cooling after daytime highs near 31–34°C, while elevated humidity and urban heat-island effects limit further drops. Ensemble model guidance shows only modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures, keeping outcomes tightly bunched and explaining why no single bin exceeds 37 percent. Updated short-range runs from KMA and global models over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise overnight minimum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$117Date de fin
11 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts point to a minimum temperature near 24°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 11, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23–25°C. Clear skies and light winds overnight are expected to allow modest radiational cooling after daytime highs near 31–34°C, while elevated humidity and urban heat-island effects limit further drops. Ensemble model guidance shows only modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures, keeping outcomes tightly bunched and explaining why no single bin exceeds 37 percent. Updated short-range runs from KMA and global models over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise overnight minimum ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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