**The Hong Kong Observatory's official recording of a 29°C minimum temperature on August 11, 2026, drives the near-certain 99.9% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Under persistent subtropical high pressure and a southwesterly airstream, limited nocturnal radiative cooling kept overnight lows elevated, consistent with climatological August baselines of 27–29°C. Forecasts from the HKO explicitly projected a morning minimum near 29°C, aligning with observed data from their primary station amid typical peak-summer humidity and minimal cloud cover overnight. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, treats this verified measurement as definitive for market resolution. Only an unreported station anomaly, post hoc data revision, or strict geographic/time-window criteria differing from standard HKO protocols could realistically alter the result, though such shifts remain improbable given the stable synoptic pattern.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 11 août ?
La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 11 août ?
29°C 99.9%
24°C ou moins <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$71,573 Vol.
$71,573 Vol.
11 août 2026
24°C ou moins
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Oui
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
Non
34°C ou plus
Non
29°C 99.9%
24°C ou moins <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$71,573 Vol.
$71,573 Vol.
11 août 2026
24°C ou moins
$2,204 Vol.
Non
25°C
$2,699 Vol.
Non
26°C
$6,574 Vol.
Non
27°C
$8,153 Vol.
Non
28°C
$10,745 Vol.
Non
29°C
$16,063 Vol.
Oui
30°C
$19,948 Vol.
Non
31°C
$3,274 Vol.
Non
32°C
$694 Vol.
Non
33°C
$617 Vol.
Non
34°C ou plus
$603 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**The Hong Kong Observatory's official recording of a 29°C minimum temperature on August 11, 2026, drives the near-certain 99.9% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Under persistent subtropical high pressure and a southwesterly airstream, limited nocturnal radiative cooling kept overnight lows elevated, consistent with climatological August baselines of 27–29°C. Forecasts from the HKO explicitly projected a morning minimum near 29°C, aligning with observed data from their primary station amid typical peak-summer humidity and minimal cloud cover overnight. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, treats this verified measurement as definitive for market resolution. Only an unreported station anomaly, post hoc data revision, or strict geographic/time-window criteria differing from standard HKO protocols could realistically alter the result, though such shifts remain improbable given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$71,573Date de fin
11 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**The Hong Kong Observatory's official recording of a 29°C minimum temperature on August 11, 2026, drives the near-certain 99.9% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Under persistent subtropical high pressure and a southwesterly airstream, limited nocturnal radiative cooling kept overnight lows elevated, consistent with climatological August baselines of 27–29°C. Forecasts from the HKO explicitly projected a morning minimum near 29°C, aligning with observed data from their primary station amid typical peak-summer humidity and minimal cloud cover overnight. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, treats this verified measurement as definitive for market resolution. Only an unreported station anomaly, post hoc data revision, or strict geographic/time-window criteria differing from standard HKO protocols could realistically alter the result, though such shifts remain improbable given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$71,573Date de fin
11 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**The Hong Kong Observatory's official recording of a 29°C minimum temperature on August 11, 2026, drives the near-certain 99.9% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Under persistent subtropical high pressure and a southwesterly airstream, limited nocturnal radiative cooling kept overnight lows elevated, consistent with climatological August baselines of 27–29°C. Forecasts from the HKO explicitly projected a morning minimum near 29°C, aligning with observed data from their primary station amid typical peak-summer humidity and minimal cloud cover overnight. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, treats this verified measurement as definitive for market resolution. Only an unreported station anomaly, post hoc data revision, or strict geographic/time-window criteria differing from standard HKO protocols could realistically alter the result, though such shifts remain improbable given the stable synoptic pattern.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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