**Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity is keeping daytime highs in Manila suppressed near 27–29°C ahead of August 18.** Official PAGASA forecasts for the date show maximum temperatures of 25–29°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with isolated rain showers and thunderstorms, which limit solar heating and cap peaks below the typical August average of ~31°C. Recent extended outlooks confirm continued monsoon influence through the third week, with similar 29°C highs and 26°C lows projected for August 17–18. This pattern aligns with trader emphasis on 28°C and 29°C outcomes, as widespread cloud cover and moisture reduce the likelihood of brief clear spells pushing readings to 30°C or higher. Updated model guidance and any shifts in monsoon strength over the next 48 hours will be key near-term drivers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Manille le 18 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Manille le 18 août ?
28°C 40%
29°C 28%
27°C 19%
30°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 août 2026
22°C ou moins
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
9%
27°C
19%
28°C
40%
29°C
28%
30°C
10%
31°C
4%
32°C ou plus
4%
28°C 40%
29°C 28%
27°C 19%
30°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 août 2026
22°C ou moins
$30 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$28 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$13 Vol.
1%
25°C
$32 Vol.
5%
26°C
$3 Vol.
9%
27°C
$0 Vol.
19%
28°C
$35 Vol.
40%
29°C
$21 Vol.
28%
30°C
$6 Vol.
10%
31°C
$25 Vol.
4%
32°C ou plus
$28 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity is keeping daytime highs in Manila suppressed near 27–29°C ahead of August 18.** Official PAGASA forecasts for the date show maximum temperatures of 25–29°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with isolated rain showers and thunderstorms, which limit solar heating and cap peaks below the typical August average of ~31°C. Recent extended outlooks confirm continued monsoon influence through the third week, with similar 29°C highs and 26°C lows projected for August 17–18. This pattern aligns with trader emphasis on 28°C and 29°C outcomes, as widespread cloud cover and moisture reduce the likelihood of brief clear spells pushing readings to 30°C or higher. Updated model guidance and any shifts in monsoon strength over the next 48 hours will be key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$221Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity is keeping daytime highs in Manila suppressed near 27–29°C ahead of August 18.** Official PAGASA forecasts for the date show maximum temperatures of 25–29°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with isolated rain showers and thunderstorms, which limit solar heating and cap peaks below the typical August average of ~31°C. Recent extended outlooks confirm continued monsoon influence through the third week, with similar 29°C highs and 26°C lows projected for August 17–18. This pattern aligns with trader emphasis on 28°C and 29°C outcomes, as widespread cloud cover and moisture reduce the likelihood of brief clear spells pushing readings to 30°C or higher. Updated model guidance and any shifts in monsoon strength over the next 48 hours will be key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$221Date de fin
18 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity is keeping daytime highs in Manila suppressed near 27–29°C ahead of August 18.** Official PAGASA forecasts for the date show maximum temperatures of 25–29°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with isolated rain showers and thunderstorms, which limit solar heating and cap peaks below the typical August average of ~31°C. Recent extended outlooks confirm continued monsoon influence through the third week, with similar 29°C highs and 26°C lows projected for August 17–18. This pattern aligns with trader emphasis on 28°C and 29°C outcomes, as widespread cloud cover and moisture reduce the likelihood of brief clear spells pushing readings to 30°C or higher. Updated model guidance and any shifts in monsoon strength over the next 48 hours will be key near-term drivers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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