Recent short-range model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather points to a moderating trend after mid-August heat, with Chengdu forecast to reach a high near 33°C on August 16 under overcast skies and isolated thunderstorms. This keeps trader focus on the tightly bunched 31–33°C outcomes, as cloud cover and moisture limit further warming while typical Sichuan Basin humidity sustains muggy conditions. Historical August averages of 31–34°C highs and occasional 35°C+ spikes provide context, but current steering patterns and lack of strong subsidence favor the middle of the range. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and any overnight model shifts ahead of resolution will be key variables for position adjustments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 16 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 16 août ?
32°C 25%
31°C 21%
33°C 21%
34°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
12%
31°C
21%
32°C
25%
33°C
21%
34°C
14%
35°C or higher
12%
32°C 25%
31°C 21%
33°C 21%
34°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
25°C or below
$472 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,034 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$467 Vol.
2%
28°C
$458 Vol.
3%
29°C
$220 Vol.
4%
30°C
$88 Vol.
12%
31°C
$52 Vol.
21%
32°C
$51 Vol.
25%
33°C
$20 Vol.
21%
34°C
$20 Vol.
14%
35°C or higher
$343 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather points to a moderating trend after mid-August heat, with Chengdu forecast to reach a high near 33°C on August 16 under overcast skies and isolated thunderstorms. This keeps trader focus on the tightly bunched 31–33°C outcomes, as cloud cover and moisture limit further warming while typical Sichuan Basin humidity sustains muggy conditions. Historical August averages of 31–34°C highs and occasional 35°C+ spikes provide context, but current steering patterns and lack of strong subsidence favor the middle of the range. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and any overnight model shifts ahead of resolution will be key variables for position adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$3,225Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather points to a moderating trend after mid-August heat, with Chengdu forecast to reach a high near 33°C on August 16 under overcast skies and isolated thunderstorms. This keeps trader focus on the tightly bunched 31–33°C outcomes, as cloud cover and moisture limit further warming while typical Sichuan Basin humidity sustains muggy conditions. Historical August averages of 31–34°C highs and occasional 35°C+ spikes provide context, but current steering patterns and lack of strong subsidence favor the middle of the range. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and any overnight model shifts ahead of resolution will be key variables for position adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,225Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather points to a moderating trend after mid-August heat, with Chengdu forecast to reach a high near 33°C on August 16 under overcast skies and isolated thunderstorms. This keeps trader focus on the tightly bunched 31–33°C outcomes, as cloud cover and moisture limit further warming while typical Sichuan Basin humidity sustains muggy conditions. Historical August averages of 31–34°C highs and occasional 35°C+ spikes provide context, but current steering patterns and lack of strong subsidence favor the middle of the range. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and any overnight model shifts ahead of resolution will be key variables for position adjustments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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