Ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and KNMI models currently drive trader consensus toward a 22–23°C peak in Amsterdam on August 16, with market-implied probabilities clustering tightly around these outcomes. Short-range guidance shows moderate southerly flow under a weakening high-pressure ridge, promoting diurnal warming to the low 20s Celsius while partial cloud cover and a modest marine influence limit further intensification. Model spread arises from small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind vectors, and urban heat-island contributions, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide context, but traders are weighting the latest model runs and any afternoon updates ahead of official KNMI verification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 16 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 16 août ?
22°C 42%
23°C 33%
24°C 20%
21°C 9%
NOUVEAU
$13,401 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$13,401 Vol.
16 août 2026
19°C ou moins
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
9%
22°C
42%
23°C
33%
24°C
20%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou plus
<1%
22°C 42%
23°C 33%
24°C 20%
21°C 9%
NOUVEAU
$13,401 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$13,401 Vol.
16 août 2026
19°C ou moins
$526 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$552 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,128 Vol.
9%
22°C
$2,412 Vol.
42%
23°C
$2,876 Vol.
33%
24°C
$3,053 Vol.
20%
25°C
$968 Vol.
2%
26°C
$596 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$490 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$343 Vol.
<1%
29°C ou plus
$457 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and KNMI models currently drive trader consensus toward a 22–23°C peak in Amsterdam on August 16, with market-implied probabilities clustering tightly around these outcomes. Short-range guidance shows moderate southerly flow under a weakening high-pressure ridge, promoting diurnal warming to the low 20s Celsius while partial cloud cover and a modest marine influence limit further intensification. Model spread arises from small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind vectors, and urban heat-island contributions, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide context, but traders are weighting the latest model runs and any afternoon updates ahead of official KNMI verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$13,401Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and KNMI models currently drive trader consensus toward a 22–23°C peak in Amsterdam on August 16, with market-implied probabilities clustering tightly around these outcomes. Short-range guidance shows moderate southerly flow under a weakening high-pressure ridge, promoting diurnal warming to the low 20s Celsius while partial cloud cover and a modest marine influence limit further intensification. Model spread arises from small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind vectors, and urban heat-island contributions, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide context, but traders are weighting the latest model runs and any afternoon updates ahead of official KNMI verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,401Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and KNMI models currently drive trader consensus toward a 22–23°C peak in Amsterdam on August 16, with market-implied probabilities clustering tightly around these outcomes. Short-range guidance shows moderate southerly flow under a weakening high-pressure ridge, promoting diurnal warming to the low 20s Celsius while partial cloud cover and a modest marine influence limit further intensification. Model spread arises from small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind vectors, and urban heat-island contributions, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide context, but traders are weighting the latest model runs and any afternoon updates ahead of official KNMI verification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes