Recent upstream record flooding on the White River, with gauges at Noblesville and Anderson cresting near 24.6 feet after intense rainfall and saturated soils, has driven strong inflows into the Indianapolis reach. National Weather Service and USGS observations show the local gauge climbing to 19.72 feet on August 15 before beginning to recede, consistent with NWS forecasts of a crest exceeding 20 feet and placing the event in moderate flood stage. This observational consensus underpins the market-implied 90.5% odds on over 20 feet. Downward revisions remain possible only if post-event gage analysis or timing adjustments lower the verified peak, though receding hydrographs now limit further upside risk.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourQuel sera le point culminant de la rivière White à Indianapolis lors des inondations d'août 2026 ?
Plus de 20 pieds 91%
17–20 pieds 7%
14–17 pieds <1%
Sous 14 pieds <1%
Sous 14 pieds
<1%
14–17 pieds
1%
17–20 pieds
7%
Plus de 20 pieds
91%
Plus de 20 pieds 91%
17–20 pieds 7%
14–17 pieds <1%
Sous 14 pieds <1%
Sous 14 pieds
<1%
14–17 pieds
1%
17–20 pieds
7%
Plus de 20 pieds
91%
Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 2:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent upstream record flooding on the White River, with gauges at Noblesville and Anderson cresting near 24.6 feet after intense rainfall and saturated soils, has driven strong inflows into the Indianapolis reach. National Weather Service and USGS observations show the local gauge climbing to 19.72 feet on August 15 before beginning to recede, consistent with NWS forecasts of a crest exceeding 20 feet and placing the event in moderate flood stage. This observational consensus underpins the market-implied 90.5% odds on over 20 feet. Downward revisions remain possible only if post-event gage analysis or timing adjustments lower the verified peak, though receding hydrographs now limit further upside risk.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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