Recent short-range forecast model runs from agencies like the German Weather Service and ECMWF show Munich under high pressure with mostly sunny skies through August 15, supporting daily maximum temperatures of 32–35 °C and placing the market’s leading 34 °C and 35 °C outcomes in near parity. Key differentiating factors include the timing of any late-day showers, boundary-layer mixing depth, and precise warm-air advection from the south, all of which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. With resolution only two days away, traders are closely tracking updated model guidance and observational trends that will determine whether readings reach the upper end of the envelope.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Munich le 15 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Munich le 15 août ?
35°C 40%
34°C 35%
36°C 12%
33°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 août 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
10%
34°C
35%
35°C
40%
36°C
12%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 40%
34°C 35%
36°C 12%
33°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 août 2026
29°C or below
$81 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$28 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$13 Vol.
1%
32°C
$104 Vol.
2%
33°C
$216 Vol.
10%
34°C
$385 Vol.
35%
35°C
$1,486 Vol.
40%
36°C
$42 Vol.
12%
37°C
$12 Vol.
2%
38°C
$71 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$19 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast model runs from agencies like the German Weather Service and ECMWF show Munich under high pressure with mostly sunny skies through August 15, supporting daily maximum temperatures of 32–35 °C and placing the market’s leading 34 °C and 35 °C outcomes in near parity. Key differentiating factors include the timing of any late-day showers, boundary-layer mixing depth, and precise warm-air advection from the south, all of which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. With resolution only two days away, traders are closely tracking updated model guidance and observational trends that will determine whether readings reach the upper end of the envelope.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,458Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast model runs from agencies like the German Weather Service and ECMWF show Munich under high pressure with mostly sunny skies through August 15, supporting daily maximum temperatures of 32–35 °C and placing the market’s leading 34 °C and 35 °C outcomes in near parity. Key differentiating factors include the timing of any late-day showers, boundary-layer mixing depth, and precise warm-air advection from the south, all of which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. With resolution only two days away, traders are closely tracking updated model guidance and observational trends that will determine whether readings reach the upper end of the envelope.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,458Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast model runs from agencies like the German Weather Service and ECMWF show Munich under high pressure with mostly sunny skies through August 15, supporting daily maximum temperatures of 32–35 °C and placing the market’s leading 34 °C and 35 °C outcomes in near parity. Key differentiating factors include the timing of any late-day showers, boundary-layer mixing depth, and precise warm-air advection from the south, all of which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. With resolution only two days away, traders are closely tracking updated model guidance and observational trends that will determine whether readings reach the upper end of the envelope.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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