Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a minimum temperature near 28°C on August 13 amid typical subtropical summer conditions with sunny periods, a few showers, and highs around 33–34°C. Seasonal outlooks project normal to above-normal temperatures for August–October 2026, consistent with climatological baselines where overnight lows often range 26–28°C under high humidity and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Trader consensus between 28°C and 29°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress or elevate the daily minimum by 1°C depending on model runs; weaker steering patterns or localized showers would favor the lower end, while clearer conditions push toward 29°C.