Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high temperature range of 31–34°C for Incheon on August 14, driven by persistent summer warmth, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover or precipitation that favor peak daytime heating. This consensus aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 32°C and 33°C, as historical August averages near 29–30°C give way to slightly elevated readings amid current steering patterns and regional pressure systems. Model updates over the past 48 hours have reinforced this narrow band, with minimal divergence noted in ensemble runs, while the low probabilities assigned to extremes reflect the low likelihood of significant frontal passages or rapid cooling before the date. Further short-range refinements expected from official agencies will likely tighten these implied probabilities.