Recent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range guidance projects a minimum temperature near 25°C for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 14 under mostly cloudy skies, which reduces overnight radiative cooling compared to clear conditions. This aligns with typical late-August climatology, where average lows hover around 23–25°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences. Timeanddate and AccuWeather forecasts similarly indicate overnight lows of 23–24°C, with minimal model divergence supporting tight market clustering. Trader sentiment has consolidated around the 24–25°C outcomes (combined 84.5% implied probability) as the latest official runs show stable steering patterns and no significant cool-air advection expected before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Séoul (Incheon) le 14 août ?
24°C 50%
25°C 36%
26°C 11%
23°C 6%
20°C ou moins
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
40%
25°C
36%
26°C
11%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou plus
<1%
24°C 50%
25°C 36%
26°C 11%
23°C 6%
20°C ou moins
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
40%
25°C
36%
26°C
11%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou plus
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range guidance projects a minimum temperature near 25°C for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 14 under mostly cloudy skies, which reduces overnight radiative cooling compared to clear conditions. This aligns with typical late-August climatology, where average lows hover around 23–25°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences. Timeanddate and AccuWeather forecasts similarly indicate overnight lows of 23–24°C, with minimal model divergence supporting tight market clustering. Trader sentiment has consolidated around the 24–25°C outcomes (combined 84.5% implied probability) as the latest official runs show stable steering patterns and no significant cool-air advection expected before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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