Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major outlets project Dallas highs of 100–102°F on August 14 under sunny skies and southerly flow, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on the 100–101°F bin. Persistent late-summer warmth, elevated soil moisture limiting nocturnal cooling, and a strong subtropical ridge are the dominant drivers, keeping daily maxima near or slightly above the August climatological mean of 96°F. Recent multi-day stretches above 100°F have reinforced trader expectations for another hot day, while limited model spread and absence of incoming fronts reduce odds of a significant downward revision. Resolution will hinge on the official Dallas-Fort Worth observation at the end of the calendar day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Dallas le 14 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Dallas le 14 août ?
100-101°F 46%
98-99°F 32%
102-103°F 19%
104-105°F 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 août 2026
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
32%
100-101°F
46%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 46%
98-99°F 32%
102-103°F 19%
104-105°F 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 août 2026
95°F or below
$142 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$103 Vol.
3%
98-99°F
$405 Vol.
32%
100-101°F
$547 Vol.
46%
102-103°F
$177 Vol.
19%
104-105°F
$193 Vol.
5%
106-107°F
$144 Vol.
2%
108-109°F
$350 Vol.
1%
110-111°F
$333 Vol.
<1%
112-113°F
$408 Vol.
<1%
114°F or higher
$388 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major outlets project Dallas highs of 100–102°F on August 14 under sunny skies and southerly flow, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on the 100–101°F bin. Persistent late-summer warmth, elevated soil moisture limiting nocturnal cooling, and a strong subtropical ridge are the dominant drivers, keeping daily maxima near or slightly above the August climatological mean of 96°F. Recent multi-day stretches above 100°F have reinforced trader expectations for another hot day, while limited model spread and absence of incoming fronts reduce odds of a significant downward revision. Resolution will hinge on the official Dallas-Fort Worth observation at the end of the calendar day.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$3,184Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major outlets project Dallas highs of 100–102°F on August 14 under sunny skies and southerly flow, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on the 100–101°F bin. Persistent late-summer warmth, elevated soil moisture limiting nocturnal cooling, and a strong subtropical ridge are the dominant drivers, keeping daily maxima near or slightly above the August climatological mean of 96°F. Recent multi-day stretches above 100°F have reinforced trader expectations for another hot day, while limited model spread and absence of incoming fronts reduce odds of a significant downward revision. Resolution will hinge on the official Dallas-Fort Worth observation at the end of the calendar day.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,184Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major outlets project Dallas highs of 100–102°F on August 14 under sunny skies and southerly flow, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on the 100–101°F bin. Persistent late-summer warmth, elevated soil moisture limiting nocturnal cooling, and a strong subtropical ridge are the dominant drivers, keeping daily maxima near or slightly above the August climatological mean of 96°F. Recent multi-day stretches above 100°F have reinforced trader expectations for another hot day, while limited model spread and absence of incoming fronts reduce odds of a significant downward revision. Resolution will hinge on the official Dallas-Fort Worth observation at the end of the calendar day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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