Recent forecasts from MetService, NIWA, and international models indicate a maximum temperature in Wellington on August 13 most likely near 13–15°C under typical winter conditions, with a mix of cloud, possible showers, and moderate northeasterly winds. This aligns with the seasonal average high of about 13°C while allowing for modest warming from variable high-pressure influences or reduced cloud cover. Trader consensus heavily favors 15°C as the implied mode because ensemble guidance shows limited potential for either strong cold outbreaks or rapid daytime heating in the current setup. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have narrowed the range away from extremes, reinforcing probabilities around the 14–15°C outcomes while leaving modest room for a 16°C outlier if clearer skies develop.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Wellington le 13 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Wellington le 13 août ?
15°C 54%
14°C 30%
16°C 15%
13°C 3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 août 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
30%
15°C
54%
16°C
15%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 54%
14°C 30%
16°C 15%
13°C 3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 août 2026
9°C or below
$429 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$578 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$368 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$642 Vol.
1%
13°C
$522 Vol.
3%
14°C
$1,325 Vol.
30%
15°C
$1,093 Vol.
54%
16°C
$1,863 Vol.
15%
17°C
$407 Vol.
2%
18°C
$301 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$557 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService, NIWA, and international models indicate a maximum temperature in Wellington on August 13 most likely near 13–15°C under typical winter conditions, with a mix of cloud, possible showers, and moderate northeasterly winds. This aligns with the seasonal average high of about 13°C while allowing for modest warming from variable high-pressure influences or reduced cloud cover. Trader consensus heavily favors 15°C as the implied mode because ensemble guidance shows limited potential for either strong cold outbreaks or rapid daytime heating in the current setup. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have narrowed the range away from extremes, reinforcing probabilities around the 14–15°C outcomes while leaving modest room for a 16°C outlier if clearer skies develop.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$8,085Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService, NIWA, and international models indicate a maximum temperature in Wellington on August 13 most likely near 13–15°C under typical winter conditions, with a mix of cloud, possible showers, and moderate northeasterly winds. This aligns with the seasonal average high of about 13°C while allowing for modest warming from variable high-pressure influences or reduced cloud cover. Trader consensus heavily favors 15°C as the implied mode because ensemble guidance shows limited potential for either strong cold outbreaks or rapid daytime heating in the current setup. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have narrowed the range away from extremes, reinforcing probabilities around the 14–15°C outcomes while leaving modest room for a 16°C outlier if clearer skies develop.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,085Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService, NIWA, and international models indicate a maximum temperature in Wellington on August 13 most likely near 13–15°C under typical winter conditions, with a mix of cloud, possible showers, and moderate northeasterly winds. This aligns with the seasonal average high of about 13°C while allowing for modest warming from variable high-pressure influences or reduced cloud cover. Trader consensus heavily favors 15°C as the implied mode because ensemble guidance shows limited potential for either strong cold outbreaks or rapid daytime heating in the current setup. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have narrowed the range away from extremes, reinforcing probabilities around the 14–15°C outcomes while leaving modest room for a 16°C outlier if clearer skies develop.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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