Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather point to a warming trend for Cape Town on August 13, with potential highs in the mid-20s Celsius driven by clearing conditions after earlier cold fronts and south-easterly winds. This positions 27°C as the market-implied favorite at 35% probability, followed closely by 28°C, reflecting trader consensus on above-average winter maxima amid variable Atlantic influences typical for the Mediterranean climate. Historical August highs average near 18°C, but extended outlooks show occasional peaks to 26°C, underscoring the role of short-term pressure patterns and steering winds in elevating odds for 26–28°C outcomes over cooler scenarios. Updated model runs ahead of the date will likely refine these implied probabilities as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée au Cap le 13 août ?
Température la plus élevée au Cap le 13 août ?
27°C 35%
28°C 22%
26°C 17%
29°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 août 2026
21°C ou moins
<1%
22 °C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
17%
27°C
35%
28°C
22%
29°C
12%
30°C
1%
31°C ou plus
1%
27°C 35%
28°C 22%
26°C 17%
29°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 août 2026
21°C ou moins
$535 Vol.
<1%
22 °C
$551 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$451 Vol.
1%
24°C
$473 Vol.
2%
25°C
$574 Vol.
6%
26°C
$848 Vol.
17%
27°C
$792 Vol.
35%
28°C
$454 Vol.
22%
29°C
$554 Vol.
12%
30°C
$127 Vol.
1%
31°C ou plus
$173 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather point to a warming trend for Cape Town on August 13, with potential highs in the mid-20s Celsius driven by clearing conditions after earlier cold fronts and south-easterly winds. This positions 27°C as the market-implied favorite at 35% probability, followed closely by 28°C, reflecting trader consensus on above-average winter maxima amid variable Atlantic influences typical for the Mediterranean climate. Historical August highs average near 18°C, but extended outlooks show occasional peaks to 26°C, underscoring the role of short-term pressure patterns and steering winds in elevating odds for 26–28°C outcomes over cooler scenarios. Updated model runs ahead of the date will likely refine these implied probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$5,533Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather point to a warming trend for Cape Town on August 13, with potential highs in the mid-20s Celsius driven by clearing conditions after earlier cold fronts and south-easterly winds. This positions 27°C as the market-implied favorite at 35% probability, followed closely by 28°C, reflecting trader consensus on above-average winter maxima amid variable Atlantic influences typical for the Mediterranean climate. Historical August highs average near 18°C, but extended outlooks show occasional peaks to 26°C, underscoring the role of short-term pressure patterns and steering winds in elevating odds for 26–28°C outcomes over cooler scenarios. Updated model runs ahead of the date will likely refine these implied probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,533Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather point to a warming trend for Cape Town on August 13, with potential highs in the mid-20s Celsius driven by clearing conditions after earlier cold fronts and south-easterly winds. This positions 27°C as the market-implied favorite at 35% probability, followed closely by 28°C, reflecting trader consensus on above-average winter maxima amid variable Atlantic influences typical for the Mediterranean climate. Historical August highs average near 18°C, but extended outlooks show occasional peaks to 26°C, underscoring the role of short-term pressure patterns and steering winds in elevating odds for 26–28°C outcomes over cooler scenarios. Updated model runs ahead of the date will likely refine these implied probabilities as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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