Hong Kong's mid-August subtropical climate, influenced by the East Asian monsoon and regional high pressure, typically produces daytime maxima of 31–34°C, with the market's near-even split between 33°C and 34°C reflecting model consensus on modest day-to-day variability. Recent seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures amid ongoing climate warming trends, while short-range guidance shows possible showers or increased cloud cover on August 12 that could cap peaks near 33–34°C rather than allowing stronger insolation to push toward 35°C. Urban heat-island effects and humidity further influence observed readings at official stations, creating the tight probability distribution traders are pricing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 12 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 12 août ?
34°C 36%
33°C 31%
32°C 16%
35°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
28°C ou moins
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
16%
33°C
31%
34°C
36%
35°C
16%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C ou plus
1%
34°C 36%
33°C 31%
32°C 16%
35°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
28°C ou moins
$131 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$431 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$43 Vol.
1%
31°C
$31 Vol.
2%
32°C
$99 Vol.
16%
33°C
$579 Vol.
31%
34°C
$87 Vol.
36%
35°C
$42 Vol.
16%
36°C
$42 Vol.
4%
37°C
$53 Vol.
1%
38°C ou plus
$43 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's mid-August subtropical climate, influenced by the East Asian monsoon and regional high pressure, typically produces daytime maxima of 31–34°C, with the market's near-even split between 33°C and 34°C reflecting model consensus on modest day-to-day variability. Recent seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures amid ongoing climate warming trends, while short-range guidance shows possible showers or increased cloud cover on August 12 that could cap peaks near 33–34°C rather than allowing stronger insolation to push toward 35°C. Urban heat-island effects and humidity further influence observed readings at official stations, creating the tight probability distribution traders are pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,582Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's mid-August subtropical climate, influenced by the East Asian monsoon and regional high pressure, typically produces daytime maxima of 31–34°C, with the market's near-even split between 33°C and 34°C reflecting model consensus on modest day-to-day variability. Recent seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures amid ongoing climate warming trends, while short-range guidance shows possible showers or increased cloud cover on August 12 that could cap peaks near 33–34°C rather than allowing stronger insolation to push toward 35°C. Urban heat-island effects and humidity further influence observed readings at official stations, creating the tight probability distribution traders are pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,582Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's mid-August subtropical climate, influenced by the East Asian monsoon and regional high pressure, typically produces daytime maxima of 31–34°C, with the market's near-even split between 33°C and 34°C reflecting model consensus on modest day-to-day variability. Recent seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures amid ongoing climate warming trends, while short-range guidance shows possible showers or increased cloud cover on August 12 that could cap peaks near 33–34°C rather than allowing stronger insolation to push toward 35°C. Urban heat-island effects and humidity further influence observed readings at official stations, creating the tight probability distribution traders are pricing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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